“Don’t Be Fooled By the Crash! What’s Coming Is ABSOLUTELY Bananas” – Raoul Pal & Larry Lepard
I think the last cycle was truncated by
the Chinese Miners and some and the FTX
some other issues FTX U so I think this
cycle will go higher I think it’ll be
200 easily I mean I I know Kaiser says
you know 230 is in play that sounds
about right to me um but it could be 4
or 500 I mean I know a lot of smart
people a lot of models show that could
be could be a million I also think
wherever it goes on this cycle I don’t
think that I think we’re done with 90%
down 80% down 70% down probably 60% down
I could maybe see a 50% or 40% down the
cryptocurrency market has experienced
quite a bit of turbulence over the past
week and most crypto assets are now down
to multi-week lows yet prominent
Personalities in the space are highly
optimistic about higher price gains as
we get deeper into the bull market
according to experts like real Vision
CEO Raul pal and renowned investment
manager and sound money Advocate
Lawrence leopard the market is just
taking a brief breather a typical bull
market consult idation before prices
take off sharply again while Raul and
Larry are not certain about the timing
of these impending price increases they
are certain that the moment is nearly
Upon Us in a recent thread shared on
social media platform X real Vision CEO
Raul pal writes about what he describes
as the banana Zone a bull market phase
characterized by heightened Market
activity and potential for exponential
price increases pal predicts this much
awaited phase will begin shortly and
continue well into
2025 in a recent interview with
blockware leopard also shared his
expectations for Bitcoin before the bull
market ends in
2025 his prediction is that Bitcoin will
hit at least $200,000 at the top of the
cycle leopard however believes Bitcoin
prices could go much higher and might
even hit a million dollars before the
cycle ends as we bring you clips from
leopard’s interview and Pal’s highly
insightful tweets please take a little
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thanks and enjoy the video I’m a sailor
it’s going up forever Luke you know on
what time schedule and what you know
model who knows as you know it’s an
unpredictable Beast um I I do believe we
are going to have hyper Bitcoin ation um
I I strongly believe that um I don’t
know the time frame nobody does um you
know I I think it’s at least seven or
eight years out um but I could be wrong
I mean MH things that have altered my
view a little bit I’ll take I’ll give
you one was um the failure of Silicon
Valley
Bank um what I call an electrical or
digital Bank Run uh in one day silicon
Belly Bank had roughly hundred billion
dollars of deposits
and as we all know they sold some bonds
the bonds were you know way below the
value they had carried them at some
smart people did the math and said oh
wow you know there’s a$2 billion hole in
this balance sheet this bank is bankrupt
that word or that knowledge spread like
wildfire through the Venture Capital
Community in
California and within 2 days they were
they were gone but somebody withdrew $45
billion worth of their deposits in one
day so
um this is you know this is new this is
a digital Bank Run This did not exist
before this is not George Bailey you
know um you know standing in the in the
in the teller’s window giving out a
couple of dollars to people who are
doing a bank run this is the real deal
and so the point I’m making is that you
know social contagion and the way you
know the internet works the way all the
social media works the way word spreads
things can happen really quickly um when
something becomes obvious to a large
mass of people people so in that case
what became obvious to a large mass of
people was that this bank was clearly
bankrupt and that you had to protect
yourself and get your money out of it so
the the The Logical followon question is
when does it become obvious to a large
mass of people if not everyone close to
everyone that the US dollar has no value
that that the the government which
operates it and controls it runs it uh
is so criminally you know misguided and
out of control that there’s no way back
and once that happens it’s all over you
know it’s it’s I mean that’s that’s Yar
23 um we’re not there yet um I don’t
think we could be there anytime soon as
measured in a couple of years 5 to 10
years I don’t
know you know it’ll depend upon how they
play it right I mean it’ll depend a lot
upon how irresponsible they are um
because the number of people I mean
think about in the Silicon Valley
instance a certain number a Tipping
Point in terms of number of people had
to become aware of what the problem was
and that’s exactly what we’re looking at
here a Tipping Point in terms of the
number of people in the world need to
become aware that Fiat is truly Fiat and
that it will be abused Forever on an
increasing scale you know and you know I
would say geometrically right um and so
as that happens you know what’s the
price of Bitcoin is a replacement for
Fiat it’s it’s infinite in Fiat terms so
we’ll be you know we’ll be measuring
things in Bitcoin terms you know that
car cost a tenth of a Bitcoin you know
that house cost half a Bitcoin whatever
it might be so uh it’ll be a different
world that’s for sure full confession
right I’ve been thinking this was
imminent I mean I was telling my friends
this was imminent 20 years ago right so
you know take everything I say with a
grain of salt um however you know I like
Preston’s analogy where he says it’s you
know okay so a woman is pregnant she
starts to feel some some contractions
you know all right well whatever you
know maybe the baby’s coming well they
get more common they get more intense
they get quicker and I think there’s a
pattern here that we can see of that
leopard is a sound money Advocate and a
Gold stock fund manager for decades well
before the creation of Bitcoin he has
been following the gradual then over the
past few years The Not So gradual
decline of Fiat currencies and the
global monetary system his Twitter
account features several tweets and
retweets that show just how far gone the
system is especially in the United
States the purported global superpower
and issuer of the world’s Reserve
currency one of his latest retweets is a
post from a widely followed Twitter
account with the handle game of Trades
the Tweet reads this is shocking
treasury bond issuance in 2024 is
expected to hit $1.9 trillion surpassing
level seen even during the 2008
financial crisis according to a wsj
piece from last month the situation in
the US Treasury Market is beginning to
make Wall Street very nervous the
national debt has grown so massive that
the treasury has to be on a constant
borrowing spre to meet up with the debt
expenses and deficit yet experts believe
the situation can only worsen from here
regardless of the outcome of the
November elections a section of the wsj
article reads the world’s largest most
important Financial Market is growing by
Leaps and Bounds on Wall Street that is
making people nervous annual issuance of
us treasuries has exploded nearly
doubling since the pandemic began the
government sold a record $23 trillion
worth in 2023 and few think the Spree is
going to slow soon the treasury market
has grown more than 60% to $27 trillion
since the end of 2019 it is roughly
sixfold larger than before the the great
financial crisis as leopard stated in
his interview the pattern is stronger
than ever and we are drawing
precariously close to the brink of
disaster let’s get back to the interview
from back to your timing issue you know
we’re going to have some more
contractions um but with each one will
become more um you know more monetary
accommodation more people aware of the
inflation problem more people aware of
the fact that you solve the inflation
Problem by buying something the
government can’t print um and once
people start to see that everyone who’s
doing that is doing very well and
everyone who’s not doing that isn’t
doing well at all um you know they’re
going to you know I think shove the
dollar into the waste Canan it’ll be
gone you know and we’ll be we’ll be
transacting in
Satoshi is is what I Envision and it
could be over by 2028 or 2029 or 2030 I
mean it we just don’t know I mean it
it’s um you know there’s a great Dan
Oliver has a great chart the merma K
chart Luke has reposted actually posted
it yesterday so you can go see the the
swings of the Deutsch Mark against gold
and the 23
hyperinflation that thing the that Mark
was worthless in
1923 and but the big swing started in
kind of 1919 or 1920 yeah it was only
like four or five years once it really
got exactly that’s my point now now they
tried really hard I mean they had you
know War debt to repay and they you know
they didn’t have any sound you know
anything sound to pay it with and so on
and so forth and they really tried hard
they ran the printing presses 100% so I
don’t think this is a perfect analog to
that but I do think it it’ll rhyme yeah
and uh you know so yeah it feels to me
like the end of this decade it might be
the time when it’s it’s all done and you
know between here and there I mean what
do we got we’ve got probably Bitcoin
100,000 hell that could be next month
you know we’ve got Bitcoin a million I
mean if you believe Samson that could be
you know in a year or two or less I mean
I I don’t know that’s that’s the tough
one for me I don’t know what this
Bitcoin slope is going to look like I
don’t know how far this ramp is going to
go you know we were talking about at
dinner last night with uh Preston and
and Jeff Booth last night we were all
trying to kind of guess what was going
to happen at this thing it’s very hard
to know I mean I I I think the last
cycle was truncated by the Chinese
Miners and some and the FTX some other
issues FTX U so I think this cycle will
go higher I think it’ll be 200 easily I
mean I I know Kaiser says you know 230
is in play that sounds about right to me
um but it could be 4 or 500 I mean I
know a lot of smart people a lot of
models show that could be could be a
million on this cycle I just don’t know
I I also think wherever it goes on this
cycle I don’t think that I think we’re
done with 90% down 80% down 70% down
probably 60% down I could maybe see a
50% or 40% down I maybe not I don’t know
it’s hard to say I mean the difficulty
is that we’re getting onto the Steep
part of the curve and so the corrections
are going to be a lot shallower if we
very R if we had a god candle that took
us to half a million like like let’s say
I mean you know we can’t even imagine
this but like like let’s say we had a
got you know let’s say we ramped to half
a million sometime within the next 3
months okay I mean way above the base
could you have a 60% draw down off of
that Absol fraking lutely I mean there’s
just no doubt I mean and but you know
absent that you know it’s I think that
you know you can I mean the 200 day
moving average will be a meaningful data
point and it will you know the having
that deep having that big a draw down is
going to require having a ramp that gets
you know way way way above you know the
the 200 day moving average so you know
so so to that point you’re getting
you’re getting more and more Supply or
more and more demand coming from more
and more bigger buckets and you know
you’ve got Sovereign wealth funds you’ve
got I was at Dubai at the conference
there and you know there were a lot of
you know Arab wealth managers sitting
there quietly listening very intently
about Bitcoin and you know those guys
don’t buy a million dollars you know
they buy tens and hundreds and arguably
billions of dollars of something and
there’s not there’s just not enough of
it to go around as stated earlier in the
video real Vision founder and CEO Raul
pal recently posted a thread on Twitter
about the current situation in the
cryptocurrency market and what to expect
going forward according to Pal this is
the pause that refreshes the brief
consolidation that comes just before
everything goes absolutely bananas he
notes that once the markets are fully
refreshed we go straight into the banana
Zone picking up to full Mania towards
the latter part of the year and well
into
2025 that is the trademark of crypto
summer and fall pal writes think of this
pause as the last days of spring crypto
summer is usually the start of alt
season which goes full bubble static in
fall in another tweet pal notes that
this banana zone is the period ethereum
will outperform Bitcoin salana will
accelerate its outperformance of both
Bitcoin and ethereum and a new big L1 or
L2 altcoin will explode versus Salon the
rest of the posts read crypto summer and
fall will be confusing because
everything will have a narrative and
will get caught up in Euphoria this is
when memes really get silly in price
unproven narratives like Ai and rwa go
to dumb valuations Etc we will also see
another two or so nasty Corrections due
to excess Leverage the banana Zone
cometh be patient and please don’t this
up do you think we are going into the
banana Zone which if it happens at the
same Pace as previous Cycles we’ll see
Bitcoin hit at least $200,000 per coin
or do you think these predictions are a
little too optimistic please share your
comments and observations in the comment
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$500,000 BITCOIN from ETFs? (Lawrence Lepard)
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14 Comments
Pretty obvious that Grayscale. Blackrock and Fidelity are all illegally collaborating.
Haha! 40% down as IF. There will be blood and teeth in the street
Controlled dogshit
The US can ban BTC just like China did. What are these people talking about?
People are acting like the halving was 6 months ago π go on holiday and chack back in 2 months time
How many Satoshis?
"There is not enough of it to go around".
Stack n Chill
With all the positives going on why this 12k drop
Lepard rhymes with discard, not Leopard the animal.
Hit 150k today.
Boring as sales pitch
$150k max
This is so true πͺ