REALISTIC BITCOIN AND CRYPTO PROFIT EXPECTATIONS! (12 MONTH BULL MARKET GUIDE TO INSANE PROFITS)

REALISTIC BITCOIN AND CRYPTO PROFIT EXPECTATIONS! (12 MONTH BULL MARKET GUIDE TO INSANE PROFITS)

how’s it going everyone it’s Sam I want to give you a bull market guide a little guide to help you along the way and tell you you know what are some realistic returns for this bull market like what could you actually make during this bull market and I want to be straight with you if you don’t mind hit subscribe turn on the Bell notification underneath the video so you can see future videos just like this there’s also going to be a link underneath the video to Marx in case you want to trade cryptocurrency you can do it over on Marx using leverage you can trade all different kinds of assets there’s also going to be a link to coin W underneath the video too in case you want to just buy these assets that we’re going to talk about today spot you can just go underneath a video and you can trade on coin W or you can buy Spot and just withdrawal to a cold wallet now obviously there are a lot of different cryptos that you can buy uh this bull run is shaping up to be a crazy one I realized that the last couple weeks have been kind of boring right we’ve been trending sideways this accumulation Zone uh starting to fall down as you can see over the last couple weeks we’ve fallen down but this is completely normal on a bull market when you consider how far we’ve come you know it’s normal to have a bit of a pullback now a lot of how much money you make is going to be based on one when you bought in like when did you buy in did you buy back in here when we’re at 28,000 or 39,000 did you buy back here at 28,000 are you buying right now uh a lot of it will come down to how much you can invest what are you buying but I want to give you some expectations for realistic returns during this bull run and you know there are going to be I guess some price predictions although that’s not really the point of this video I’m not trying to sit here and chart out where Bitcoin could go I’ve talked about that before but I want to give you some realistic expectations and some ideas for like what are the risks what do you have to watch out for and how can you realistically get a better return so a lot of this will come down to your own ability in crypto how much time can you have to devote uh how much time do you have to devote to crypto what are your emotions like but obviously there are cryptos that are going to 100x there going to be cryptos at 500 500x 1,000x those will be the outliers obviously maybe you’ll have 100x like if you invest in 20 25 cryptos Maybe you’ll have 100x you’ll probably buy it when it’s already like 2x though so maybe you get like a 40 50x but it does come back down to you know how does the whole Market perform so this is what the market looks like now right now Bitcoin is $1.22 7 trillion uh this is the amount a billion so $1.2 trillion basically it’s 54% of the overall Market depending on what chart you look at but this is what I pulled from coin market cap eth is right around $362 billion which is 16% the cryptos 3 through 10 which include BMB tether salana usdt uh usdc xrp ton coin Dogecoin and cardano those account for another 177% of the market and then the rest of the market everything else combined everything 11 through 20,000th in the crypto Market is about 284 billion kind of crazy when you think think about that right how many top 20 how many top 50 coins do you know probably a lot Pepe Aptos filecoin uh Phantom dog whff hat all those arbitrum Caspa they’re all in this rest of market and they take up about 12.5% so only 1/8 of the overall Market are these small crypto coins so overall this makes the entire Market of about 2.26 trillion now we did get to about I think it was three trillion uh towards the peak but let’s say we move into this bull run and I’ll be clear there are two different there are two different camps here some people think we’re going to have diminished returns so in uh in the last Market we went from 20K to 70k so that’s a 3.5x some people will say okay that means this cycle we’re going to go maybe 3x or 2.5x so where would that take us maybe 130,000 to 300 00,000 that’s that’s one Camp right of course there’s also another group of people that think that we’re never going to get past where we are now or that we’re only going to get to 100,000 or 150,000 uh there are a lot of people that you know are are bearish and then there’s that middle group that’s maybe okay 130 to 200 we’re going to see diminishing returns and then then we have the people like Plan B that say Hey no there’s just a a huge scarcity of Bitcoin so yeah while we’re at 70,000 now or 60,000 now we’re going to have Amplified returns so instead of 200,000 some people are expecting 500,000 that’s what plan B is expecting based on the stock to flow model 500,000 some people say 300,000 so I’m not going to get caught up in that price here today because it ultimately depends on where you think the Market’s going I’m going to be conservative I like being conservative with my numbers so we’re going to assume that the Market of well the market cap of Bitcoin goes up 2.5x okay that’s it that’s it that’s $150,000 Bitcoin somewhere around there it’s just over a$3 trillion market cap now if I had to guess if we if this really was a top I’d guess that we’re more likely to be just short of like 150 or just short of 3 trillion then the reason behind that is a lot of the time we come right up to a big resistance and then get rejected that’s kind of the peak of the market like everyone saying 150 we get up to 14 two and then we fall down something like that that’s if we if we’re expecting this diminishing returns cycle now in this scenario Bitcoin would go up about 2.5x from here still very bullish keep in mind that’s 150% return over the next year year and a half that’s better than every other Market will perform I guarantee it and of course I can’t guarantee anything but if we get up to a $3 trillion Bitcoin it probably will perform better than just about anything in this scenario we’re going going say ethereum 3xs so Bitcoin goes up 2.5x goes up 150% we’re going to say ethereum goes up 200% usually eth outperforms Bitcoin in bull market so we’re going to say that it I mean I think this number kind of makes sense too if you’re thinking diminished returns we go right up to 9,000 everyone’s calling for 10,000 then we fall down right maybe we get to 8,800 or something you know so we fall just short of that $10,000 goal so that put it right over a trillion dollar market cap up maybe like that’s the huge event that happens and everyone’s calling for 10K and then we don’t quite get it but um this is accounting for about 14.6% of the market at this point and then the cryptos 3 through 10 move up about 300% or 4X so B&B is looking like at just over $2,000 and it doesn’t have to be necessarily one of these coins it could be could be usdt going up and it’s a $400 billion do market cap all of a sudden but uh salana maybe five 5600 xrp close to $2 a ton coin $25 somewhere around there Dogecoin 60 and so on again just round numbers the rest of the market we’ll say goes up 6X right people start investing in the smaller coins of course we’ve seen that already we’ve seen some of the smaller coins grow very quickly but we’re going to say that this really explodes right there are gaming coins AI coins uh we have coins all over the place worth 30 uh 30 B ion 40 billion and they’re not even hitting top 10 they’re maybe top 30 top 40 and this continues to grow this is going to take market share right we’re just going to assume this and of course we could go like okay maybe you’re going to invest in 5 100x that’s not very likely though because you know there are only so many projects you can put money in probably one out of every 50 is 100x or more maybe one out of every 10 if you’re really good one out of every 10 10 or 20 is 100x and that’s like if you’re top .1% or something like that in crypto um so we’re going to assume that the whole Market grows to be 7.4 trillion everyone’s calling for1 trillion market and then we fall into the bare Market that’s again assuming diminished returns and assuming we don’t just go on a massive bull run forever so what can you realistically make right what can you realistically make in this market well if you invested 10K right now now and you invest into Bitcoin the risk would be low but at the peak you’d make about 25,000 or you’d have 25,000 in this scenario right Bitcoin goes up 150% it’s just numbers right so risk is low you can make 150% gain maybe you want to invest in ethereum your 10K goes into 30k you invest in the big caps ton coin xrp salana cardano Dogecoin not and particular but you just kind of spread it around if they go in Forex well then your 10K becomes 40K and then rest of Market you know maybe you invest in 10 different 30 through 100 Caps or something like that you turn your 10K into 60k okay these are realistic returns I’ve seen some people saying I’m going to turn $100 into a million dollar and there’s some influencers that show that it’s very difficult most of them are probably playing games in the background um but you know that is very unlikely I just want to say that like it’s possible crypto is a place where you can make more money than anywhere else probably right it’s it’s the wild west you can make 1,000 X’s but those are often the outliers and often times people will continue to gamble even after they’ve made a lot of money like let’s say you’re at the casino and you you win uh 2X and then 4X and then 8X and then 16x and you keep on doubling down eventually you’ll lose at some point and then you’ll lose all of your returns some people do that in crypto they buy some memec coin they make a 10x they put it into another mem coin 50x they put into another mem coin it gets rug pulled okay so you have to be careful about that now like I said you could be one of the really good investors that invest really early gets 100x again though you still have to have a pretty decent amount of your portfolio in it to make it worth it right if you invest in 100 different projects and one does 100x that others get rug pulled you made nothing you’re just back to square one now what are the major risk like how can you how can you make more money I think you need to know the major risks behind this okay risk number one you buy too high that’s probably the thing that most people think about you come into crypto at the very Peak uh bitcoin’s at 150 and then you buy and then we go into a bare Market or hey some crypto everyone’s talking about let’s say you just come here and you’re like what’s performed the best oh render it’s up 40% in the last 7 Days let me get a drink okay render up the most in the last seven days let’s see maybe you just go to the 30-day okay R weave is up 27% you just throw in your money into whatever’s up and sounds crazy but some people do that some people do that with meme coins like they’ll see it uh recently added or they’ll see it trending and they’ll just invest at the wrong time because everyone’s looking at it it’s already gone up a lot so that’s risk number one another risk Panic selling probably risk number two what what do every what does everyone talk about buying at the wrong time or Panic selling Bitcoin goes from 75,000 you think it’s the best asset in the world everyone’s buying it it goes down to 60,000 you panic because you think it’s going to go down to 50 or you think you’re going to buy back in Lower A lot of people do that too they think okay why would I hold it when I can just buy back in at 50 and I can get like 16 17% more bit coin that’s a mistake too cuz you never know when it’s going to stay down and I’m getting to a point here this this will be helpful okay major risk number three better faster cheaper coins come to the market so you’re investing in I don’t know some new layer one and it says that’s the best coin out there but it’s got no real Network and then something else comes that’s better so you can invest in something like ethereum and still do well because of the fact that they have a large number of users so even if it’s not the fastest thing out there there’s still a lot of people that use it that prefer it right uh so if you’re going with a faster cheaper coin or something uh maybe maybe you get passed up by something else because there always new coins coming right this is not an all-inclusive list another thing you could do is you just get pulled in by the marketing right uh you get pulled in by the marketing it’s not as great as they say you don’t do enough research you could even send it to the wrong place right You’ send it to the wrong wallet that’s another risk um coin stops marketing team stops developing I think this happens with a lot of newer projects right you think that it’s this great new project uh they’re marketing like crazy they’re getting new users and then all of a sudden just kind of Fizzles out maybe the coin gets rugged maybe they take the treasury or someone steals or maybe there’s a hack something like that custody risk whether it’s a centralized exchange right you put on the wrong exchange you try to get too much yield and then it gets rug pulled or they go bankrupt or you self- custody it and you lose it somehow maybe you transfer it to the wrong place or you hold too long that’s another thing right you buy all the way up or you hold throughout the whole market and then you never take profits that’s another risk that’s something that you have to be careful of you can’t you can’t be married to your coins these coins these coins are not your friends right the people that own these are not your friends right you’re sitting there playing Russian with everyone that’s invested in these and maybe maybe bitcoin’s different maybe bitcoin’s different I’m going to say that right maybe maybe you want to take profits in Bitcoin some people do that but all these all these other coins people are in these to make money they don’t care about the community the the whales are not in it for the community or the memes they’re in it to make money off of everyone else they buy it it goes up they sell it it falls maybe they buy buy back in during the bare Market but get that in your head that if you sell people might give you crap for a day or two if you tell people then no one cares no one will care and you will sell at the wrong time right you will sell it will continue moving up you’ll feel like an idiot eventually though it will fall down it’ll fall down and then you’ll feel pretty good if you can get in and sell at 3/4 of the top price or even 2/3 right you’re probably going to do pretty well even if you don’t sell your micro cap at the 100x you sell it at a 60x it’s still much better than everyone else that will buy at the top or buy where you’re buying and hold it throughout the bare Market these coins will lose 95% of their value during the next bare Market maybe more some will fall 97% 99% some will never come back so keep that in mind now one thing that I have done right one thing that I think can be a major tool it is risky riskier than just buying spot but you can leverage I know groans from the audience but you can leverage using something like Marx or coin W and the reason I like this is it takes out a lot of the risks on this list okay so you buy Bitcoin right you buy Bitcoin let’s say you do a Forex long not anything crazy but you just put some Bitcoin in a Forex long okay the risk is the same as just buying Bitcoin here you could buy too high right you could buy it at at a bad time um Panic selling you could do that too better faster cheaper coin comes that’s not going to happen with Bitcoin coin stops marketing it’s not going to happen with Bitcoin coin gets rugged okay no one’s going to really rug pull Bitcoin custody risk okay you’re putting it on a centralized exchange right I’ll give you that there’s more risk with that than putting it in self- custody um holding too long same risk as Bitcoin so you basically have the same risks as Bitcoin as just holding spot Bitcoin except there is a price risk if you see a big draw down in price then you could get liquidated right you could get liquidated so there is a price component to it but when you compare this to a smaller coin right let’s say you’re comparing leverage trading versus a smaller coin like I don’t know some two 100 on the list crypto um I think there’s probably a bigger risk of buying the smaller coin at the wrong time because you probably heard about it from someone and they heard about it from someone and the fact is if you’re seeing it now it’s 200 200 down on the list there’s probably a reason you’re seeing it they’re probably marketing a lot there it’s probably gone up a lot too so the risk of buying higher is bigger on some smaller coin um it’s much EAS easier to panic sell a small coin as well because the fact is you probably uh will see bigger draw Downs in the price like Bitcoin yeah can fall down 10 20% but you’re probably going to see a meme coin or a small crypto go down 80% 90% at some point maybe maybe 60% right even this recent pullback we’ve seen cryptos in the top 100 pull back 50% um nothing is going to come that’s better faster stronger a better meme than Bitcoin but a small crypto can easily get pushed out of the way because it doesn’t really have a market it doesn’t really have emote coin stops marketing okay that’s another big risk for a smaller coin not for Bitcoin a Bitcoin long coin gets rugged definitely a risk with a smaller cryptocurrency custody risk uh is probably you know it depends how you hold your smaller meme coin or your smaller coin but a lot of the time you hold them on naturalized exchanges if they’re a small coin and holding too long I think is a bigger risk with a smaller coin now what about the rewards okay so again there’s a price component right now bitcoin’s down 15 20% from the high so if you do a 4X long it would have to fall down another 25% from here so under 50K it would have to fall down to 46 47k on bitcoin so that’s the the risk the return is 4X that of what you would normally get right is that how you say it so you put in $100 into a Bitcoin long let’s say Bitcoin does 150% return right uh well the return on the 4X would be 4X that so instead of 150% you get 6X that’s the same as investing into some you know some smaller cap meme coin if if you get this Market return right so you lose out on a lot of the major risks if you invest uh do some low leverage long and yet you get the same as if you invested into like some smaller C mcoin but again a lot less risks the fact is too there’s a lot less work if you go long on bitcoin and just hold for a while and then you buy some spot Bitcoin and I’m not saying dude like leverage with 90% of your portfolio or anything but let’s say you do that with 5% of your portfolio and then the rest you just buy Spot Bitcoin okay you just have to look at one asset and even then you don’t really have to look at Bitcoin all that much you know bitcoin’s going to go up over time uh a year to a year and a half from now we’re going to peek out so maybe you want to take up some profits along the way but compared to some smaller coin you have to be watching it all the time you have to be paying attention to it you have to be worried about this or that so there’s just a lot more risk so that is one thing that you can do to help during this bull market again I’m not trying to sell you on anything I’m just saying that that is something that I’m doing I think it can help because again it takes away a lot of the major risks and a lot of the time commitment of course you could lose the investment but I think there’s pretty much as big a chance of that happening within smaller cryptocurrencies as well as there is with Bitcoin let me know your thoughts though especially if you get the timing right if you just don’t buy too high on a Bitcoin long like that’s when it comes that’s what it comes down to if you buy at the wrong time you’re going to get liquidated if you buy at the right time you’re going to make a lot of money like I bought on these uptrends several times I went long like there’s some Longs I put in right around here we had fallen from the peak about 20% so I was like okay I don’t think we’re going to fall another 20% it’s possible but you know I’m going to go low leverage long and then we had a massive move up so now I have a bunch of padding if Bitcoin goes down 30% 40% yeah I’ll get what out on some of these long positions but I can always add more uh I can always add more to it as well to the trade to kind of pad it a little bit more bring down that liquidation price let me know your thoughts on this underneath the video though is this ever something that you do and let me know if this helped a realistic price or realistic um expectation of gains during the bull market I hope this was helpful again it’s going to come down to where you think the Market’s going to go and I’m not going to sit here saying this is exactly when and where the Market’s going to come out or come to right I’m not going to sit here and say that because honestly it’s going to be dependent on a lot of factors and I can’t do that with other cryptocurrencies too I can I could make a bitcoin price prediction video let me know if you want that specifically down below where I expand a little bit more on my thoughts I gave in this video thank you so much I appreciate it there are links to Marx and coin W underneath the video also to blof fin as well all great uh exchanges if you want to try them out of

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0:00 Intro
2:40 Where The Market Is Now
4:00 Diminished Returns Vs Exponential Returns
5:15 Conservative Price Predictions/Expectations
8:50 Realistic Profit Expectations
11:06 Major RISKS (YOU NEED TO KNOW THIS)
14:15 REMEMBER THIS!
15:10 YOU WILL SELL AT THE WRONG TIME (BUT YOU STILL SHOULD)
15:55 AMPLIFY RETURNS WITH THIS*

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