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– Crypto World –
Welcome back to the crypto ball Channel everyone my name is Josh and right now the Bitcoin recovery is continuing but right now we’re seeing a new Bitcoin signal flash that we need to pay attention to while Bitcoin is now running into critical short-term resistance and also forming a new
Pattern which I’ll talk about in just a moment and on top of that black rock is continuing to buy more and more Bitcoin and tomorrow there’s a Federal Reserve meeting which could heavily affect the markets and on top of that ethereum is still potentially repeating history so
I’ll be talking about all of that and more later in the video so definitely watch to the end first of all we need to talk about the upcoming fomc meeting also known as a Fed meeting because this is basically where the Federal Open Market Committee decides on whether or not they’re
Changing interest rates and this can have a massive effect on the market depending on the outcome from the fomc meeting and this fomc meeting interest rate decision will be happening at 700 p.m. in the GMT time zone tomorrow on the 3 1st of January so basically in
Around 1 day from now we’ll have the decision from the fomc meeting whether or not they’re changing interest rates and as of right now the federal funds rate on the high end is sitting at 5.5% also known as 550 basis points and the majority are expecting no change in
Interest rates and if we’re taking a look at what the Futures Market is currently pricing in for what we could expect at tomorrow’s fomc meeting also known as a Fed meeting once again right now the federal funds rate on the high end is sitting at 5.5% also known as 550
Basis points and around 98% of the market is expecting for interest rates to stay the same with tomorrow’s fed meeting so basically no change in interest rates and roughly around 2% of the market is pricing in for an interest rate cut which means reducing interest rates by 25 basis points or
0.25% and I’ve explained all of this in much more detail in previous videos here on the channel but basically all you need to know is lower interest interest rates are bullish for the economy and bullish for markets and higher interest rates are bearish for the economy and bearish for markets and basically what
The majority is expecting that is essentially the outcome that is priced into the market and so basically what this means is if we end up seeing no change in interest ratees with tomorrow’s fed meeting then honestly we shouldn’t really have any major effect in the market because almost everyone is
Already expecting that and pricing that in right now but if we see anything other than no change in interest rates tomorrow then that is where we could see a lot more volatility so for example if we do end up seeing that interest rate cut or somehow if we see an interest
Rate hike tomorrow which personally I don’t expect but basically if we end up seeing some sort of change in interest rate that is where we could see a lot more volatility in the market and once again lower interest rates bullish higher interest rates bearish so basically if we do end up seeing that
Interest rate cut tomorrow then that would be very bullish for the market so we should expect a pump across the crypto Market if the Federal Reserve reduces interest rates tomorrow but on the other hand if we somehow see an interest rate hike tomorrow which no one is expecting but basically if the
Federal Reserve does end up raising interest rate then that would be bearish for the market and so we’ll likely see a dump across the market as soon as that outcome is announced if that happens which once again not many people are really expecting so once again the neutral outcome where we shouldn’t
Really expect a major move in the Market at all is if we see no change in interest rates tomorrow if we see an interest rate cut we should see a pump across the market and if we see a hike we should see a dump across the market
And now even if we do end up seeing that neutral outcome of no change in interest rates we could end up still seeing some short-term volatility due to the Jerome power press conference based on what the chair of the Federal Reserve actually says in that press conference and
Basically that happens around half an hour after the interest rate decision so we’ll get that interest rate decision at 700 p.m. in the GMT time zone tomorrow and then roughly around half an hour after those new numbers come out we’ll have that press conference and I will be
Covering all of this live over on my Twitter in real time so make sure to follow me over on my Twitter if you want realtime updat links down below this video and speaking about my extra updates that I post over on my Twitter of course just yesterday gray scale did
End up sending another approximately 8,600 Bitcoin out of their grcar Bitcoin trust over towards coinbase which is worth around $370 million us and now as I said in my last video here on the channel normally around 1 to two weeks ago gra sky has been selling closer
Towards 15 to 20,000 Bitcoin per day and so this is actually less selling pressure compared to normal and I have been talking about recently on the channel how there’s less and less selling pressure from grayscale and if we see this continue if we see less than 10,000 Bitcoin sold per day and
Especially if this number continues to decrease then once again that means less and less selling pressure from grayscale which is good news for Bitcoin that is bullish for Bitcoin if there’s less selling pressure and so basically as soon as we saw this come out just yesterday today we did end up seeing
More of a bullish move just in the short term for the price of Bitcoin because the market is now looking towards less selling pressure from grayscale and as of right now grayscale is still currently holding around 500,000 Bitcoin worth over 21 billion but once again they’re not selling that entire amount
Right now and we’re actually seeing reduced selling pressure each day compared to around a week or two weeks ago and what’s very interesting is even though grayscale is selling less Bitcoin black rock is buying even more Bitcoin that is right they are ramping up their Bitcoin buys adding even more buying
Pressure to the Bitcoin Market because as we can see here Black Rock now holds over 56,000 Bitcoin worth nearly $25 billion us as we can see on their own website once again right now black rock is holding 56,600 just in the last one day Black Rock has accumulated over
4,600 Bitcoin worth around2 200 million us just in the last one day and so with black rock buying more and more Bitcoin for their spot Bitcoin ETF obviously this is taking a lot of Bitcoin off the market and adding more buying pressure to bitcoin and once again this is
Happening at the same time as less and less selling pressure is coming out of grayscale and so obviously with less selling pressure and more buying pressure this is bullish for Bitcoin which I’ve been talking about recently on the channel especially over the last few days but anyway getting into the
Bitcoin chart taking a look at the daily time frame and right now the bounce is still continuing exactly from this area of support which is still sitting in between around 37.9k to around 385,000 which is pretty much exactly where we saw a bounce in the price of Bitcoin and
What we have now seen over the last one day is an official bullish cross confirm here in the daily Bitcoin macd which basically means we’re beginning to see some more bullish momentum show up here on the chart and so all we need to see now in order to flip much more bullish
Again is basically the invalidation of this bearish Divergence which as of right now we have not yet invalidated the bearish Divergence because as of right now we have not yet seen a breakout Above This descending line of resistance here in the daily Bitcoin RSI but if we do end up seeing a breakout
Here in the RSI and especially some higher lows and higher highs form again then that can help to inv validate this bearish Divergence which once again can result in more bullish momentum and so essentially right now on the daily time frame we’re at the stage where we’re potentially flipping from short-term
Bearish back to short-term bullish in terms of the trend and momentum because the macd has already flipped bullish again and the RSI is very close to flipping bullish again but it is not yet confirmed a bullish reversal here in the RSI and if we’re taking a look at the
Dxy also known as the US dollar index of course over the last one week or so this has been trading sideways as I’ve talked about recently on the channel and as of right now it’s still basically trading sideways so it’s not really having much of an effect on the price of Bitcoin
While it’s just trading sideways but obviously as you can see here if the dxy is bullish that is usually bearish for Bitcoin and crypto and if the dxy is bearish that is usually bullish for Bitcoin and crypto and so as always I’ll keep you up to date on what’s Happening
Here in the dxy of course if we see a change in the dxy if it flips more bullish or more bearish I’ll be sure to let you know about it here in these videos and so if you want these daily update videos then make sure you subscribe to this channel if you haven’t
Already and make sure you turn on notifications so that you don’t miss out on any of these important update videos and if you’re enjoying this video so far I would appreciate it if you leave a like down below because it really helps out with the videos but anyway taking a
Quick look at the shorter term looking at the 2hour time frame and right now as I’ve recorded in this video the price of Bitcoin is running into this area of resistance which is sitting in between around 43.3k going up toward WS around 43.6k based on previous resistance and I
Did mention on the channel just recently that we did see a successful retest of this area of previous resistance now acting as new support and that area is sitting in between around 41.7k to 42.2k and I said if we see a bounce from that area and continue further to the
Upside then once again the next resistance is sitting at around 435,000 which we are now running into and as I’ve said recently on the channel it’s at this point that I’d flip much more bullish again if we break out Above This resistance so if we see a confirmed breakout back above around 43.6k
Approximately basically breaking well above these previous highs then at that point once again I will flip much more bullish again in the short term expecting a further recovery up towards the local Highs but at least as of right now in the short term once again we do have a bearish Divergence with higher
Highs in the price and lower highs in the 2hour Bitcoin RSI and so with the price now running into a bit of short-term resistance at the same time as forming a short-term bearish Divergence I would not be surprised if we do end up seeing at least some sort
Of sideways consolidation or possibly a slight pullback just in the immediate short term here but if we eventually see a breakout Above This resistance after some sort of pullback of some sort then of course in that case once we confirm a breakout Above This resistance then we
Can flip much more bullish again and so basically the situation in the short term right now is at the moment we’re currently within a bullish relief or a bullish recovery in the immediate short-term due to more buying pressure from Black Rock and less selling pressure from grayscale but in the
Imminent short term is in the coming hours possibly over the next one day we could end up seeing a slight break from that bullish price action due to this short-term bearish Divergence and the price running into short-term resistance But ultimately after a bit of a pause from that bullish price action we could
End up seeing a breakout later on and at that point we can start to flip much more bullish again once we break out Above This resistance and if you want to trade these mov in the Press Bitcoin or any other crypto whether we’re bearish or bullish you can make money in either
Direction with long positions and short positions and personally I take those trades over on buybit so I’ll make sure to leave a link to buybit in the description down below and in the pinned comment and if you use that link to make a buybit account and deposit on that
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One trade over on bitflex then you can get 10 usdt completely for free along with other new deposit bonuses and so if you’re trading crypto anyway or if you’re preparing to take the next trade you might as well get set up ready to go on one of those exchanges using those
Links down below this video if you want to get those extra bonuses but anyway taking a quick look at the 8h hour Bitcoin chart and what we are now seeing is The 8 Hour Bitcoin RSI is extremely close to overbought territories and if we’re simply looking at the last few
Times where the 8 Hour Bitcoin RSI entered into overbought territories obviously all of these previous times that happened around some sort of local high in the price of Bitcoin just before a little bit more of a short-term pullback and now this does not necessarily mean we’re going to see a
Massive crash and a huge bearish Trend reversal because obviously these short-term pullbacks can happen during a bullish Trend but once again it is worth pointing out that the 8 Hour RSI is very close to overboard territories which means very soon we have somewhat limited room to the upside so we could see a
Slight move to the upside continue but once again that room to the upside is limited at least in the short term so we’re due to see some sort of short-term cool off sometime soon and that could potentially coincide with this bearish Divergence on the 2hour time frame and
The price running into this resistance and once again that Co off can either be a sideways consolidation or a slight pullback because both neutral price action and bearish price action can help reset the RSI and we also have this area of resistance worth paying attention to based on a previous price action and
This area of resistance is sitting in between around 44.3k to around 44.7k and basically that’s pretty much the final area of resistance before potentially heading up towards the local highs which is sitting closer towards around 47 to 48,000 and if we’re taking a quick look at the Bitcoin liquidation
Heat map as of right now we still have a lot of liquidity to the downside sitting at around 39 half thousand and we also have some liquidity sitting at around 415,000 and a small amount of liquidity just to the upside sitting at around 44,000 but once again at least as of
Right now in the Bitcoin liquidation heat map the majority of the liquidity is still currently sitting to the downside which is very interesting because usually the price the Bitcoin Trends towards where there’s most liquidity and over the last one week or so there has been a lot of liquidity to
The upside just in the short term pushing the price higher and so with a lot of liquidity now sitting to the downside the Bitcoin liquidation heat map is potentially suggesting some slightly lower prices sometime soon but obviously this is not a 100% guarantee it’s just based on this one chart right
Here but anyway getting into the ethereum part of this video this is on the daily time frame and right now the bounce is still continuing from this area of support which is sitting in between around 2.1k to around 2150 and if we’re taking a look at the daily
Ethereum price oscillators right now the macd is still showing less and less bearish momentum trending towards a bullish cross but we have not yet seen a bullish cross for ethereum in the macd and as of right now the bearish Divergence on The Daily time frame is technically still active because we have
Not yet invalidated the bearish Divergence we have simply not yet seen any invalidation signals like for example a breakout or reverse in the RSI into higher lows or higher highs and so at least as of right now with the bearish Divergence still active but with the macd showing less and less bearish
Momentum technically speaking this is relatively neutral for the trend and momentum in the short term and if we’re zooming into a smaller time frame looking at the 4-Hour time frame this shortterm fractal is still currently playing out which I’ve been talking about almost every day since all the way
Back down here because once again as I’ve been saying here on the channel we do have two major bounces from this exact area of support sitting in between around 2170 to 2200 very similar to what we saw just here and then after seeing those two major bounces from this exact
Area of support previously we ended up seeing a bullish move and then a higher low above that area of support very similar to what we have just seen and on top of this similar price structure of course if we’re looking at the 4-Hour ethereum RSI this is also currently
Trending to the upside forming higher lows and higher highs very similar to what we saw previously and so once again as I’ve mentioned recently on the channel this is not a 100% perfect copy compared to what we saw previously but it is very similar price structure and
Also very similar looking in the RSI as well and so obviously if this fractal continues to play out it does suggest more bullish price action basically a further bullish recovery in the price of eth because that was indeed the outcome of the previous price action and also in
The much shorter term on the 2hour time frame technically speaking this short-term bullish Divergence is still acve which I’ve been talking about since all the way back down here and once again a bullish Divergence means we do to see a reduced bearish momentum which usually plays out in the form of either
Choppy sideways price action if not a slight bullish relief as the most likely outcomes but similar to bitcoin on the 2hour time frame but also potentially forming a bearish Divergence right here with higher highs in the price and very slightly lower highs here in the RSI but
As of right now we don’t really have a lot of confirmation for this bearish Divergence for because as of right now the RSI is still basically trading sideways around the current local high and so for example if we see a little bit more bullish price action in the
Price of eth then that can quickly pull the RSI further to the upside into new higher highs and obviously if we have higher highs in the price and higher highs in the RSI there’s no Divergence at all and so basically we need to see a
Little bit more of a pullback in the RSI to actually cement that lower high in place to become more confident that we actually have a bearish Divergence playing out in the short term but in the mean time once again we’re still playing out that short-term bullish fractal and
So overall I’m leaning slightly more bullish than bearish in the short term as I’ve said recently on the Channel with this bullish fractal now playing out and if we’re taking a quick look at the price of salana on the 8 hour time frame obviously over the last one day we
Have now seen a breakout above this line of resistance which was sitting at around $98 to $99 and we’re also currently breaking out Above This previous resistance right here which was sitting at around $12 to $103 and so the next resistance to watch out for is this
Line which is sitting at around $108 to $109 and above that the next resistance is at around $115 and above that the next resistance is sitting closer towards $120 to $125 based on the local high and now that the price of salana has finally made a new
Higher high just in the short term this is technically one bullish reversal signal pointing towards a bullish Trend reversal from this previous short-term bearish Trend into a new short-term bullish Trend and so right now we have seen the early signs of a bullish Trend reversal breaking out above these
Previous Highs but if we’re looking at The 8 Hour RSI this is currently overbought and so as I explained earlier in the video for Bitcoin this means technically we have limited room to the upside at least in the short term and as for short-term support I would now
Expect support right here sitting at around $98 to $99 and below that we also have this level of support at around $92 and more support down towards around $84 to $85 and if you want to know how you can profit from crypto no matter if the price is bullish bearish or simply
Chopping around sideways you can profit in all of that price action by watching these videos popping up right here on your screen the video in the top left shows you how to make money if the price is bullish or bearish using long positions and short positions and the
Video in the bottom left shows you how you can easily profit from choppy sideways price action but anyway that’s everything that I have to say for today I really hope you enjoyed and I’ll see you all in the next video
29 Comments
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If the FED keeps rates the same. We could..will see a bullish effect. Because keeping rates the same…and not raising them…a bullish effect.
Now…if they did cut rates…that creates HUGE bullish effect.
Thx champ
Algorithmββββ letβs gooo
Very informative but please reduce the length of the videos
You've been doing well bro do you remember me?
Thanks!!!
Isn't that an inverse head and shoulders on the 1h for BTC?
DOGE β°β½ππ
Yes gray scale sell BlackRock buy π
Hey Josh I been watching for awhile now and I'm just holding some BTC not committed to deeper dives. But basically just wanted to say thanks for your time and experience.ππ
Best mode on
Thanks! Your video calms me down everyday I watch it when the market is pumping! I'm going with your insights. It makes the most sense with where we are at in the cycle. The only thing that would make me think this cycle could be slightly different is the overall increased adoption of crypto since 2019 and all the hype with the BTC/ETH ETF speculation. Could the market stay held up this cycle by the anticipation of ETFs and the overall awareness that a bull run is coming? The surge is speculated to possibly be the beginning of a massive new uptrend, making it a crucial time for investors to pay attention, I've personally benefited from following Boston Weber trading tactics, amassing 23 bitcoins in a short four weeks period, which speaks volumes about his expertise….
Good man
you explain everything really good, nice to hear the details, new sub here bro
Thank you β€
Wow!
Hi, Josh! My English isn't at a financial level yet, but I want to jump into the crypto market sooner or later. I tried to understand anything you said in the video but I would be grateful if you give me a conclusion about it! Some websites predict that Bitcoin will fall back to around 34k USD at the end of the week. Can it happen or the opposite? I'm thinking about Bitcoin as a long-term investment, so I want to buy and hold it for more years/decades, whatever happens. In this case, what would be the wisest course of action? Thanks in advance!
I love your videos, but sometimes I get confused as a day trader if we should buy or sell, I trade on bybit with you.
Wooow…. just perfect ……πππ
What do you think of $MYRO
Josh you do see a HnS forming on the daily for Btc and ETH right? Youβre not just gonna ignore that?! 44-45K then buh bye ππΌ 32K here we go!
ILLUVIUM ππππππππππππππππππππππππππππ
i need alts to throw 10x my blood pressure cant handle my position rn
TY Josh, but what do you think about a 30% downward price before the halving like "normal"…. It should come?????? Or now for the first time not??????
Maybe Blackrock sells all bitcoin after FED meeting?
Why would grayscale be selling off their coin if they were anticipating a run up? π€
How can I see the market like that ( in the beginning) ????
Great video, I really appreciate the dedication in each video you post. Despite the dip in crypto, I still thank you for the level-headed financial advice. I started crypto investment with $4,345 and since following you for few weeks now, Iβve gotten $18,539 in my portfolio. Thanks so much Garce Williams.