Navigating Bitcoin’s Bull Run: ETFs Driving the Market

Timecodes
0:00 Video Overview
1:16 Bitcoin is the Best Performing Asset
4:14 Rise of Bitcoin ETFs
8:15 72% of Financial Advisors Vote Bitcoin
9:37 The Coming Surge
12:46 Should You Buy Now?

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The price of Bitcoin continues to outperform every other asset it’s up 25% in just the last couple of weeks it’s up 130% over the last 12 months and bitcoin’s price exploded higher again outperforming every other asset did you catch it now how is it that some people

Seem to be ahead of the curve and most people seem to miss it a big part of this is because of a huge misconception about Bitcoin the brand new Bitcoin ETFs and Market cycles and how they all work together so so in this video we’re going to jump into how most people

Misunderstand how Bitcoin is becoming the new Wall Street darling the role of ETFs and how it faked most people out but clearly shows What’s Next and what your next move should be if you want to participate or miss getting crushed so let’s go all right welcome back if

You’re new to the channel my name is Mark Moss I make these videos to change the way you think about money because yes almost everything you’ve learned is wrong and if you don’t understand what money is or how it works then maybe that’s part of the reason why you’re

Missing this you see money isn’t something that the government gives to US money is something that we use naturally to trade to store value I’m not going to get into what money is but just understand if you expand your definition maybe you’ll understand this a little bit better but let’s just get

Into this Bitcoin as I said it’s been the best performing asset now I know we can cherry-pick dates and times and I can show you plenty of charts over 3 months or 6 months where it’s lost value or or gone up so we want to look at them

Over reasonable times like 10 years like 3 years it’s up 1,235 since the pandemic so a lot of times we look at uh pre pandemic and post pandemic because the financial system really changed 2008 it changed changed again in 2020 so since 2020 it’s up 1200% in the last year 12 months it’s

Up 144% this year to date it’s up 21% done pretty good now Wall Street of course sees this Wall Street sees that it’s been the best performing asset Wall Street sees how much money’s been made and of course they want a pieace right they want to financialized financial everything and

So of course they’ve been trying for decades now to get in and get a piece as a matter of fact Cameron and Tyler winlos the winlos twins of Gemini they filed on July 1st of 2013 to launch the winkl Vos Bitcoin trust which was an ETF

At the time and back then the price of Bitcoin was roughly $100 $100 now of course the SEC denied that they denied it the winkl vos’s attempt again in 2017 noting the lack of regulation in the Bitcoin market and it’s they said that it raised concerns about the potential

For fraudulent or manipulative acts and practices which is the same story and song they continue to tell for many many years to come then we saw grayscale Investments come along um and they weren’t able to launch the ETF but they launched what was known as the Bitcoin

Trust gbtc and they first submitted a Bitcoin ETF application in 2016 16 and they spent the better part of 2017 in conversations with the SEC but it all failed we saw bitwise file for a physically backed Bitcoin ETF in 2019 but it withdrew its requests in January

2020 amid SEC concerns now there was many others along the way more than a dozen issuers with a Bitcoin ETF application who were in front of the SEC but it all changed when Black Rock black rock the evil empire it all changed when Black Rock turned heads last June when

It revealed its intention to launch a Bitcoin ETF now as soon as I saw Black Rock launch an ETF I felt it was going to go through I was pretty confident at that point the fund Titan manages more than $9 trillion in assets the largest asset manager in the world and they’ve

Only ever had one proposed ETF ever rejected by the SEC I think it’s like 350 approved one that was denied and they’re sort of like the semi quasi arm of the government they helped the government do a lot lot of things as we saw like in the 2020 pandemic through

The bank collapse in 2023 and so if they’re submitting a proposal for an ETF they have the governments here they know what’s happening and I figured it would go at that point now another Milestone some industry Watchers believe u that really allowed these spot Bitcoin ETFs to get approved was when grayscale

Actually won in court against the SEC in August and the SEC opted to not appeal the decision and that seemed to really turn the corner if their decision wasn’t already made before uh because of like I said Black Rock getting in but the regulator denied the firm’s proposed

Conversion of gbtc to an ETF in 20122 and then so then gry scale sued the SEC in response I love the response the judges in the case ruled that the sec’s decision to block this conversion but approve a Bitcoin Futures ETF was arbitrary and capricious that’s what

Their words were I had to look that up you might too and then ultimately what turned the tide was the SEC was forced to capit ulate and the bit Bitcoin ETFs were finally approved now most people didn’t realize how big the ETFs really are so let’s talk about this for a

Minute I’m going to talk about it from sheer numbers and size but let me talk about something else that’s even bigger and I’m talking about the psychological piece you see whenever there’s a brand new technology introduced it always follows a predictable path I talk about Cycles all the time now you might have

Seen this chart before it’s called the diffusion of innovation it’s like a like a bell curve so first you have the innovators these are like the people that develop the code and then you have the True Believers that come along and they’re they’re the revolutionaries that continue to talk about it but most

People don’t get in because there’s the casm and the C the chasm has to be crossed before the early majority can get in and then eventually the late majority so what is the chasm you see the chasm is a psychological divide where the mindset has to shift you see

The True Believers get in they’re the they’re the psychopath right they they see it and they can Envision this future and they grasp onto it the people that latched on to all new technology when it first came out the Nerds right uh the techies the Geeks whatever you want to

Call them but the chasm is where it becomes normal so think about the internet in 2007 when we got the iPhone that crossed the chasm and the chasm is a lot of people maybe you watching this think that Bitcoin is is a scam it’s a

Tulip bulb it’s a it’s a pump and dump it’s uh Magic internet money you can’t hold it in your hand all these things and and those are all normal things about a new technology it’s too hard to use um it could be stolen the government’s going to make it illegal

Whatever you have right and those are all good thoughts to have about a new technology it’s okay to be skeptical you you’re not a True Believer but if you want to be part of the early majority you have to understand the chasm and so the chasm is being crossed right now the

Chasm when Larry Fink the largest asset manager in the world like I said quasi semi arm of the government goes on national TV and changes his mind about Bitcoin you have to you have to take notice when you have ETFs when you have Fidelity when you have your fund manager

Putting Bitcoin into your portfolio without even asking you it starts to change the mindset people start to realize oh shoot I guess this is legitimate I guess my financial adviser is telling me and that’s what changed the chasm let’s look at what Larry Fink so in 2017 he called it quote an index

Of money laundering an index of money laundering now at the time Bitcoin was around $5,000 2023 he called it a safe haven he said quote this rally is firmly grounded in real ity and goes well beyond mere rumors it is a response to the growing uncertainty surrounding events such as

The Israeli conflict he added more more and more individuals are seeking refuge in assets that are considered safe havens be it in the form of treasuries gold or cryptocurrencies man what an about face going from oh it’s a index for moneya laundering to now people are

Going to it for safe havens so what this ETF does is not only help cross the chasm but it also increases massive demand because we get a lot of passive investors somewhere about 30 to 40% of investors don’t actually invest their own money they allow someone else to do

That for them and these fund managers are now taking allocations to bitcoin without their clients even knowing as a matter of fact in a poll 72% of financial advisers said they would recommend a Bitcoin once an ETF was approved now that’s sort of the big numbers but let’s dig into the data here

So if this is so big if the ETF was such big news why did we have a selloff as soon as the ETFs were announced now I made a video in December 5th and I I gave a warning it’s going to be a buy the RoR sell the news event and the

Reason why I gave is because most people thought as soon as ETFs were approved everyone would go buy the E the ETFs which would push the price of Bitcoin up which is what happened however there was a big selloff first part of the people that sold off were people that were

Trying to front run the trend so they bought the rumor as soon as the news was announced they sold but we also saw massive selling from gbtc remember grayscale tried to launch an ETF but they launched a trust instead people had their money locked up in that for years

And were getting charged exorb and fees they wanted to get out and so as soon as it got released they started selling and I I told you it’ be a buy the dip moment I said don’t get shaken out because Wall Street will probably want to buy your

Bitcoin from you so don’t give it up as a matter of fact it’ll be the buy the dip moment that’s exactly what we saw we saw the price drop 22% as soon as it got announced from 49 ,000 all the way down to 38,000 and now

It’s bounced all the way back up and just broke that number um at the time of this recording now let’s talk about what the future holds that’s what we all care about right the coming surge now what we’ve seen already is the Bitcoin ETFs that are there have already attracted $1

Billion do in assets under management in less than a month spot Bitcoin ETFs within just 20 days of trading in their you know from their Market debut accumulated more than 10 billion in assets just think about how big that number is it illustrates how strong investor enthusiasm is for this new

Investment Avenue the the demand that’s been sitting there now the two biggest winners of this Bitcoin ETF race are Black Rock of course I shar’s Bitcoin trust ibit and Fidelity’s wise origin Bitcoin fund fbtc and on the other side we had the massive selling of the grayscale Bitcoin trust the gbtc but

We’ve seen that starting to slow down so we’ve seen it slowing down the selling slowing down but the buying has been ramping up which of course we’re starting to see all over in the price now we know that Bitcoin ETFs collectively grew so fast that they overtook the second largest ETF in just

I think it was 5 days which was silver and look at what happened when the gold ETF was first launched the gold ETF is the largest ETF that’s out there and as you can see on the chart from the time the ETF was announced until the peak it

Went on on quite a run now could we expect Bitcoin to go on a similar run I think so as a matter of fact it’s probably going to even be bigger now what we can already see today understanding that all price is the equilibrium of supply and demand we can

See that first off the Bitcoin Supply is capped never be more than 21 million we’ve never seen a commodity like that when the price of oil or gold goes up we get more oil and gold more people go mine in or bring it out of the ground or

Whatever but because Bitcoin is a is a fixed Supply cap it can’t get more so then we have to at the demand side now what we can see right now is the Bitcoin ETFs are adding 9,000 Bitcoin per day which as you can see on the chart right

Now is directly pushing the price up but let’s just put this into um some way that you can understand this for a second so they’re adding 9,000 Bitcoin per day now there will never be more than 21 million Bitcoin of that 21 million about 19 million or so is like

Free free floating or trading of that about 1.5 million million is potentially up for sale that’s what we can see on exchanges we can see the days and and how long it’s been since it’s moved so about 1.5 Bitcoin 1.5 um million Bitcoin um now there is new Bitcoin being

Created every day about 900 so that’s the inflation so 9,000 are being taken off the market but there’s only 900 new ones pretty big imbalance now to make it even worse or better depends on which side you’re on in just a couple of short months we have an event called the

Bitcoin having which will literally cut that amount from 900 new Bitcoins per day in half to 450 so what do you think happens when the demand stays the same and the supply gets cut in half what happens when the demand goes up and the supply gets cut in half I think you have

A pretty good idea so now let’s answer the next question so now that you know all this should you buy now should you wait and if so if you should buy should you buy an an ETF or should you buy it directly all right first let’s talk

About should you buy it through an ETF or direct and then we’ll get back to should you buy it now or wait so in should you buy it in an ETF or direct so there’s pros and cons to both right most people don’t want to think linear like that

Or most people want to think linear but really there’s Nuance to both and so I I could say there’s reasons why you would want to buy or own either let’s go through those so first of all I think that one of the biggest revolutionary pieces about Bitcoin is that I can own

It myself I can custody the asset I can take delivery it cost me no money to secure it no one can seize it steal it censor it if I want to send it to you nobody can stop it block and prevent it that’s revolutionary and so we should

All participate in that if you want to be part of the Bitcoin ecosystem you should take delivery of it however there’s lots of reasons why maybe you you can’t or maybe even you shouldn’t so what are those if I have money in a retirement account let’s say some sort

Of a retirement vehicle like a 401k an IRA something like that and I can’t I can’t manage that money I can’t direct that money myself and I’m not able to buy Bitcoin with that money well I can only buy Equity so in this now I could buy Bitcoin through that retirement

Account I have access to the Bitcoin price I don’t actually own the Bitcoin I don’t have custody of it so that’s number one so it’s an easy way to get access now again if you can get it you should now another way is that you know

I think the security is pretty easy if you can learn how to do venmo you can figure out how to do Bitcoin it’s about the same process however some people maybe they’re not technically um Adept maybe they feel a little bit intimidated and so maybe owning through an ETF might

Be a better first step for them to sort of get that first exposure and then move on I always recommend you take delivery of it yourself if you can always own the physical but the ETFs make sense in some cases now so should we buy Bitcoin now

Or should we wait so as I already showed like the massive amount of demand for Bitcoin not just with the people but now through the ETFs and through Wall Street is massive on a level we’ve never seen I showed you how the price of of the ETFs adding Bitcoin is directly pushing the

Price up and I told you that 72% of uh financial advisers would recommend their clients bu Bitcoin once the ETFs get approved this is not a sugar rush this is not a couple of weeks or a couple of months this is years I showed you what

Happened to the price of gold once the ETFs went got approved and I would imagine we’re going to see the same thing over the next 68 10 years or decades all right so with that being said we should buy some of you might be waiting for a pullback some of you have

Been waiting for a pullback that never came and so I do want to give you a warning nothing ever goes up in a straight line or nothing ever goes down in a straight line the ETFs will introduce more vol volatility because now not only are we able to go long

There’s also ETFs that now allow us to go short so I would expect one we’re going to have increased volatility so be careful for that now should you buy now or wait the second part we’ll look at is time frames so if you’re planning to buy

And hold for 5 years 10 years 30 years 50 years or Generations like me it it doesn’t really matter if you pick it up at 50 or you pull it back on to 45 what’s the difference right so if you have the right time frames it doesn’t

Really matter I would start buying now if you want to trade it then maybe you want to wait for the right time to buy and the right time to sell but I do not recommend that the reason why is you see Bitcoin have these very explosive moves

Like what’s happened in the last couple of days and it’s very hard to time that so by the time the indicators turn in your favor it’s already moved in hindsight you look at the chart it looks very easy to trade but the problem is like I said it moves so quickly most

People miss out on that so I recommend taking a long-term time perspective on that two I think that if as long as you hold it for five plus years you’re going to be okay now one final thought I’m going to address one misconception or maybe one piece of fud fear uncertainty

That and doubt that’s holding people back a lot of people still think that the US government could make Bitcoin illegal so my question to you is do you think that Wall Street Fidelity Black Rock Etc who spent billions of dollars to bring these new products to Market

And are now making billions of dollars uh do you think they just sit back and allow the government to make it illegal if the answer is yes then you probably don’t know the way the government and uh bills and regulations and lobbying works if the answer is no then you should

Probably be buying some and if so you might want to know more about the Bitcoin ETF specifically and how this works and if so watch that video right here and if you want to know more about the future of the monetary system how we go to gold and then Bitcoin watch this

Video right here all right but either way let me know what you think leave me a comment down below of course give me a thumbs up if you like the video if you don’t thumbs down that’s okay at least leave me a comment tell me why subscribe if you’re not already subscribed and

That’s what I got to your success I’m out