BITCOIN PRICE PREDICTION for End of Cycle (Gann & 18-Year Cycle)

BITCOIN PRICE PREDICTION for End of Cycle (Gann & 18-Year Cycle)

all right guys I thought it’d be interesting to have a look at some end of cycle price targets price projections for Bitcoin and for the S&P 500 remember we cover everything here on the channel because that’s part of our investment plans and our investment strategy is to understand traditional finance and overlay that with uh Bitcoin and of course the major one the real estate cycle now there are some ground rules we must cover as we all know that price projections are a bit of bull porn people get very obsessed with end of cycle targets and it’s kind of doesn’t go hand inand when people expect an exact price or date to happen yet we all know we all know at the back of our minds that no one knows the future you cannot predict 100% accuracy what is going to happen on the right hand side of this chart but what we can do is put some probabilities into our favor have rules and signals in mind to to help us get out in case things change because there’s always going to be an invalidation of potential price or time targets and so if you are prepared with your own strategies with your plans and maybe you’ve been following some particular rules that I use here on the channel then that would hopefully set you up for a better result come the end of the cycle whenever that may be so if that interests you hit the Subscribe button because this will inevitably change I don’t have the crystal ball to the right hand side I just try to stack the probabilities in my favor and ride the move as long as possible for folks that have been here for many years you know that’s exactly what we did back at the lows we weren’t sure 100% it would be the lows but we were one of the very few to talk about why this looked much uh higher there was a much higher probability of the lows coming in in late 22 and early 2023 and you’ve got the receipts on YouTube and X as well posted at those times in real time while the masses we’re talking about that collapses so with that out of the way we did well last uh last video smash up the likes again 3 half thousand markets are still quiet volumes are still down the masses still aren’t here the retail folks aren’t here your Mom and Dad aren’t talking about Bitcoin and crypto yet but inevitably I think that’ll also come it’s a big video coming up so turn off for your notifications close down the other tabs you’ve got open there let’s go the underlying theory of our investment principle is the 18.6 year cycle and this is essentially the stage that we are running into now it’s called the winers curse phase we’re roughly around here now this changes every few months or so because at the end of the day this is a 14year up and a 4year down roughly speaking when we go back over 200 years of data for this cycle it has worked every single time so this is the stage we’re going into and it’s the final stage before we collapse so there still seems to be a fair bit of time left to get those gains to the upside we’ll come back to this in future videos we want to focus on price targets now for the S&P 500 and for BTC now I want to look at this in stages first targets and then some end targets knowing that the end targets will have to change they have to change as more of the data comes in I’ve said that I really want to stress it because I don’t want people to take this away and then say that’s it and get lazy which reminds me to hit up the rules for the uh you know for what we’re talking about today the market is always evolving always listen to what it is saying so we have to adjust with the times don’t bet the house and expect an exact date or Price hopefully you don’t do that and if you get lazy you will lose it’s that simple by lazy it’s basically taking a date and a uh and a price and saying that’s it I’m I’m done I’m just going to sell up when that that thing happens it doesn’t happen like that and if it was that easy then of course everyone would be very wealthy so the Market’s always evolving don’t expect this to be relevant in 6 months time just look at it for what it is now and then we see whether the market is uh progressing towards those targets or not and then we can adjust as times come it’s like flying an airplane if anyone’s ever done that it never just goes directly on course you’re always going on and off course that’s the best analogy I’ve heard when it comes to trading so you have to keep adjusting it as you go that’s life that’s the way it works you’d see it in your own life nothing goes in a St line but when people come to trading they expect it to go on a straight line because they want guarantees no guarantees in life hopefully we get it let’s move on to um the S&P 500 so just going to make this as simple as possible looking at particular fibs here and particular levels to the upside so basically our 1.618 and then I’m going to look at the uh the extension as well so the extension is something that that I use for my trading it’s a gan style analysis and that allows us to take ranges that the market has produced and then project them off lows off the corrections that the market has also produced so pretty simple in theory uh to use them you just have to make sure you’re using the most relevant highs and lows for the time period that you want to uh identify for the next particular move of course there’s no 100% I think I need to keep saying that just so people understand but here is the first one so to see whether it is working I like to see it hit those prices already so and what I mean by that is you’ve got this particular range here out of the October bare Market low so this top projected off the next one the October 2023 low and you can see we had a 100% hit at uh in March of 2024 so it seems like this particular extension is working for now it broke past 50% so they’re the two key levels that I’m looking at here and and then I look further up to the next particular resistance so about 5800 points and then about 6,400 points if I’m getting a doubling of this range now things are speeding up there’s so much more I can get into but of course this video would end up being an hour long uh and I don’t want to uh go down that path as I so often get very close to doing that so anyway that’s our first one here just looking at that that seems to be working okay for now you’ve got an extension um the pullback that’s where we’re projecting the next 100 % from bam we had a hit the market reversed corrected and now we’re trying again to get back to uh the next price targets so that’s one extension here so we got extensions and we have retracements as well the more hits you get in the same or roughly around the same price the the more chance there is of a reversal at that price the same thing goes in reverse if you use these tools in reverse and look to the downside you might get a 50% hit Let’s uh this is how I can get carried away just to try and show you how these tools work top to low okay so you had a rough 50% hit there and Market bounced from it and got a major major reversal so that’s what we got anyway moving on now we’ll make this a little bit quicker there is the next range it had a 50% hit bang on and now to the upside there’s a 1.618 clustering at 6,400 points so far so good so that’s a a bigger time frame than this time frame you can all see that that’s a shorter time frame that’s a longer time frame a bigger move as well next one let’s layer that on this one’s a little bit shorter now the the one we just layered on was this right here so this extension I’ll take this off so we can see so the extension right here has had a 1.618 hit nice reversal and then we are looking towards roughly around 5,800 points now there are a few other prices in here but of course the video is already long enough I’m not going to go into a ton of detail on those for now the main one I’m looking at is up here at roughly 6,400 points you can see quite a few price targets clustering at about 6,400 points now is that the end of the cycle who the hell knows I I I don’t have that Crystal Ball but as you can see there are a number of price Target uh yeah price targets to the upside that have some price clusters happening the first is of course right here what we had 5,300 points we’ve had a bit of a rejection a correction and now the Market’s attempting again the next is about 58 and then following that’s about 6,400 so if we’re to see those uh see the market get to that then I wouldn’t be surprised if Bitcoin also stalled around those prices so we’d have to see where Bitcoin gets to when the S&P 500 also gets to meet its price targets so that’s it for the S&P for now we’ve got two in mind 58 64 let’s get move on to the NASDAQ now I’ve got these open so we know what’s going on so far I’ve got larger time frames here just to have a look at some of those major hits that have just occurred then we can see the magnitude of these moves so this entire run of about 11 years projected again to the upside gave us the top that just occurred so the NASDAQ repeated this exact range from 2008 to 2020 projected from that high that’s a % move of this range and hit that uh just in the last couple of months so 185,000 points had a correction now it’s attempting to break through that again to the upside 2618 about 23,900 so round number let’s call it 2400 sorry 24,000 and let’s throw on a couple of shorter term time frames as well we’re using this range projected there a little hit at 50% the 100% is at 197 and not too many that um come together closely with 24 but you got one at 25 and one at 22 a half let’s have a look at this one here you’re starting to get a bit of a cluster in the 19,000 so 195,000 and one more to add to that um you’re getting it again here at about 23,900 so they’re the next ones that I’m looking uh for for the NASDAQ to then layer up with BTC to see if you start to get some sort of reject ction at those prices sometime 2024 2025 maybe 2026 we still have a long time to go here and see what happens to bitcoin at those times so the first number you want to have a look at keep it in your Diaries 19 a half to about 197 you can see three numbers lining up pretty well in the 19000s and then we move up to roughly around the TW uh the 23,900 yes there are a few other numbers lower here so we’ll keep an eye on those but they might just be shorter terms Corrections on the way before we get a longer term at the more major numbers that’s all it’s referring to here so that’s a bit of a Time projection for the NASDAQ so what could bring on one of these Corrections well anything that is going on in the geopolitical space at the time this one goes back 123 years there is always something going on in the world always something to be fearful of zoom out it doesn’t look like much but at the time they can be pretty significant us financial crisis the global financial crisis same thing GFC 54% correction for this is the Dow uh you had Co that was about a 40% 35 to 40% depending on which stock market you’re looking at and then everything else in between Black Monday I think it was another 50% markets recovered from there so depending on how much time you have you know not many people live to 123 years um but overall Market continues to go up from that point with the odd uh time where it basically goes sideways so I guess that’s what a lot of people are fearful of is that they’re going to get stuck in one of these periods where there is basically no growth and you’ve got to look elsewhere so I go back to this if you get lazy you will lose don’t get lazy with your Investments because there might well there are always going to be better opportunities when something else is not doing so well and that could be a very very long time could be 10 or so years just like we saw through the early 00s into the early 2010s where essentially had a similar sort of thing the market went flat so this is a side note if we had that just recently when you look at it in the grand scheme of things the 120 20 odd years then I don’t expect us to go through one of these other sideways periods even though everything seems like it should project to be a uh a sideways market for many many years like a loss decade you know we had one about 20 years ago that lasted for about 10 to 13 years then you had another one 30 years before that that lasted for about 10 to 15 years so I wouldn’t expect to get another one of those for several more years and now doesn’t seem to be the time don’t have that Crystal Ball but now doesn’t seem to be that time I think we got plenty more upside to go now if you’re still unsure if the market could go higher take the UK as an example a big economic Powerhouse of the world not like in it’s Heyday but it’s still up there in the top 10 the UK stock market new all-time highs this week and new all-time high daily closing prices of all time the entire history the GDP just came back month over month it is it has increased and just end of last year the UK was in a technical recession but the market knew something that the news and the masses of people masses of investors didn’t want to believe the market was telling you that it was time to go up even though there was a technical recession you can see these lows that happened end of 23 early this year as well 2024 and you basically just boomed from that point a thousand points on their stock market so avoid the masses the mainstream mindset if you hear the same people on the news telling you the same thing over and over again that there needs to be a collapse the Market’s overboard it’s too high they 99 90% of the time get it absolutely wrong just follow the charts that’s the main story here now the uh the US dollars also an important one to have a look at for the the price of these assets going up as a potential narrative macro Theory here the macro Theory I’ve had especially if you remember from 2022 is that this was the cycle top we were going to fall from that point and we got it within one day just because of how stupid the news is and well now we’ve seen a bit of a base to test the 50% level so there was a 50% through the middle here we’ve been rejected again potential low lower high here and if this is to fall then there should be no guarantees but typically You’ expect there to be uh less pressure on assets like stock markets Bitcoin and crypto so we might be at the early stages of this breakdown on the US dollar I’d be looking for the first number here at 103 A2 then 102 and then these lows at around 100 to 101 so there’s a few key levels for the breakdown so this could take throughout 2024 to get back down to these levels and break down which would then ease the uh you know the pressure on other assets and commodities now it’s time to turn our attention to bitcoin and review what has happened in previous Cycles when Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high the time it has taken to get to its final peak in the cycle has been roughly around 10 to 12 months so 10 to 12 months from that all-time high in the last cycle uh that took you to the final Peak the cycle before that the 2017 cycle was the the first testing there to that final top was about 11 months and we take it back again to the 2013 cycle that nice big pump from a few bucks up to $1,200 that was about 9 months from when it tested that other high price so there hadn’t been a real all-time high or a real cycle there yet and that was essentially within the first cycle uh coming up to test that price and you had about 9 months left of the the excitement and and the Mania now within those periods periods you had multiple uh uh months of consolidation 5 months here 6 months here that was in 2013 cycle then you also had 2016 to 2017 cycle of another roughly 6 months and then again about four to 5 months so essentially just looking at how the market pumps pulls back consolidates and then attempts to push to new high prices again 2020 to 2021 cycle again about 6 months and this one looks slightly different where you could see the price heading up a pullback and then you went onto this Final Run 3 months uh for the correction and then into that final Peak and then of course there was the 6mon pump six-month decline so plenty of those things happen and this cycle so far we’ve seen one six-month consolidating period between 25k and 32k so to have a bit of an idea of what’s happened in the past and then to project that forward well things are kind of happening quite similarly this time however we ran up to a new all-time high a little quicker than the last Cycles so 28 months whereas the last cycle took about 35 months so 7 months quicker this time round so does that mean we end earlier that’s possible we end earlier we don’t go up for three years and down for one maybe we go up for two years and down for two we’re looking at a fouryear cycle from low to low not the harving thing that everyone else talks about whenever that Bloody harving is and I’ve got that in just a moment so to look at this conser atively if there is about 12 months left because we’ve hit that alltime high conservatively conservatively remember we will look at the um you know best case scenario going out further in the year Well 12 months would take us out to about quarter 1 of 2025 and to be even more conservative we were looking at quarter 4 of 2024 around that time of the election after that election at the end of the year markets could pump from that point and the reason being is that we had about 9 months here from that run up 9 months would take us to about December of 2024 I think that’s possibly unlikely I think we would probably extend to maybe January or February as you can see here the 12 months takes you out to March so in terms of that conservative I’m still just going to follow the market to go into late quarter 4 or uh quarter 1 of 2025 now if this particular run was something like we saw before in terms of the time frames we’ve just managed to hit that all-time high a little bit sooner and this doesn’t even matter well then we would just look at the total time in the cycle itself so from the low to where we are it’s about 18 months so far so where were the other Cycles at 18 months in they’ve experienced a pump they’ve experienced a significant Decline and they were in the midst of experiencing a consolidation so we’ve seen a consolidation we’ve seen a pretty significant pump maybe we’re in the midst of another decline or consolidation again you can see the previous cycle what happened within that 18 months remember it doesn’t have to happen uh with the exact same Playbook but you typically would see like a pump a decline a consolidating period over that sort of 18 to 20 months 18 months consolidation pump consolidation pump consolidation and then pump cycle before that 18 months you see it went a little pump here it’s pretty significant when you go from two bucks up to $6 or $7 consolidation pump consolid ation pump and then start of another consolidation as well there were significant declines 30 40% of course I think this one here was about 50% So within that 18 months that we’ve seen multiple pumps like we saw early on consolidation another pump within here as well uh we’ve got another pump here and now we’re possibly going through a consolidation which could take us out past summer of 2024 for the Northern Hemisphere so with all that in mind prices change fundamentals change but human emotions basically the reactions never change so the point of all this is after a big pump the the reaction almost never changes from humans you get a pump you get a decline pretty significantly in some cases or the market just fading out because it takes time to recuperate from such a massive pump you can see it again pump recuperate pump recuperate I’ve gone through that already so it’s basically just look for what the pattern was and then you can roughly figure out what might come next it’s either going to be a decline or a pause it’s not just going to be more significant pump and we’ve seen that now there was a decline and now it seems like we’re in the midst of this pause it’s been about 60 days since the all-time high so maybe more of the same when we look at the past now the analysis I’m going through can be quite heavy and sometimes a little confusing on how to implement it when I first started out it was definitely something that I wanted to learn how to implement myself so that I could make the most from it for my Investment Portfolio for my real estate for my trading and now of course Bitcoin and crypto Tia premium is what we have created so that you can get an understanding of how to implement this for your own trading and investing plans to hit whatever goals you are wanting to achieve so you can join us and our members at Tia premium a link to this is in the top of the video description join us for a 7-Day free trial and learn more about how this cycle can help you and your investment Journey with a short break over let’s dive back into the analysis price we’ve gone through each of the markets themselves prices for BTC let’s turn a few of these off so we can get a bit of an idea and overall I’m going to say when it comes to the extensions on bitcoin it’s a little harder to use because of the um the nature of Bitcoin going into these big moves to the upside so in the past these extensions haven’t been the greatest tool to use because the moves are just so significant compared to say the S&P 500 or the NASDAQ however as more money comes into the system you see less and less the volatility declines to the upside and to to the downside so with that in mind let’s see if we’ve got a few numbers to use here for BTC the previous cycle low to high you got the 50% through the middle that came out about 36 it happened to put in a low last time and bounce and then basically broke down from there and then on this move out we saw a a little pause there in October and then it decided to break through so I think this range is relatively okay to use for now and we’ve seen again a test at this top I don’t think the Cycle’s over by any stretch of the imagination um so I’m just going to look to the upside targets and the first one there is 135,000 we’ll just use some easy round numbers here now if it was to do twice this particular move so that range uh for quick maths is about $65,000 so you’re just projecting 65 Grand off the top takes to about that you know 135k project 6 5 grand again that’ll take you to about2 $21,000 so that might not be enough for some people some people think 500 or a million I’m going to keep it relatively conservative and of course adjust with the market itself now there is one other major major tool you might guess it that I would use when it comes to trying to forecast the ends of the cycle 50% is fantastic but the G swing indicator this is going to help with the end of the cycle when you see these major moves moves break down then you definitely know that the well almost definitely that that part of the move is over and that we shouldn’t be trying to load up on like altcoins that there’s probably a lot longer to go for the consolidation so that’s something really important that I would continue to use as this Market progresses you can see these nice beautiful swings and that’s how we um identify the projections using the trend based FIB extension so I’m going to turn this one off and then have a look at the extension that we have now from the current range with the current low if the low happens to remain at 56k 56 A2 if this low changes you know may pumps up and then comes back down then you’d have to adjust this to wherever that price comes in but for now this is the current price that we have which is why I said at the beginning of the video these prices will change so that’s a guarantee these things will change because the market changes if this low comes in a little lower we have to adjust so to the upside the % level that’s the the next big one I’m looking at apart from the current top so the current Top’s at you know 73 half 74 Grand the 50% level so 50% of this range projected from this low takes us to $81,000 so that has been a number that we’ve looked at before it remains to be a pretty significant number for Bitcoin to get through should we break to an all-time high and maybe the price does enough just to fool the majority most of the time that’s essentially an old saying that happens in the market so we’ll have to pay attention to that as well let’s turn on another one so a bigger price range here and see whether we get any hits for price to come in together okay let’s turn this one on right here this one is the entire range of the previous cycle low to high projected off the current cycle low so a very very significant range now we have had a we’ve hit had a hit wow at 50% $485,000 that was our ET have top there at 49 so nice hit there pullbacks and then we got a breakout now to the upside of that 100 100% comes in almost dead on the same 50% level so we’re getting a price cluster now at $81,000 I got to stretch this to try and see the prices it’s so close the first one’s $8,800 the next one’s $81,300 so really close prices there that’s why I’ve got a pretty strong eye on 81,000 to see how Bitcoin reacts but is it the end of the cycle price it is possible I don’t know for sure but that’s why I’m definitely keeping an eye on that 81,000 it’s it’s there’s enough there for me to pay attention to the price when it gets to that point around that 80 81,000 possible there’s no guarantees okay let’s look to the upside again 100 uh 150% of the range comes in at 140 ,000 and 150% of this range here projected from that low comes in at 130,000 not overly close similar to that one there so between 100 130 but the next particular one that comes in at 200% major range of 65 Grand projected from the low at 15 grand 200% comes out it’s this long line here at a 147,000 which is getting closer now to a price cluster at 154,000 draw a line through the middle about 150 151 so there’s a a reasonable price cluster there at about 150 projecting these two now is there anything else I’m going to look at this particular range next let’s have a look there so this is now the um FIB retracement looking at this price projecting it above straight from the top as opposed to a corrective move so the doubling takes you out to 134 and the tripling here is at 00 so we just had a um a look at that before on one of the other charts so looking at the doubling here at 135 now we’re starting to get a bigger price cluster in that 130s just below the 150s and then you’ve got this other one way out here so first up about 80 call it around number 80 obviously 100 is going to be a number that everyone’s going to be looking at bit of a psychological level probably big parties going on there Bitcoin to 100K all that sort of jazz and then these next two there there’s other ones in between 115 120 but I’m interested through here now about 130 to 150 what goes on with Bitcoin at that time and on top of that what happens if we get some other sort of rallies and Corrections will be will we be able to start measuring those as the market progresses and if we start to get some more of those and we can measure this and it comes out and projects dead on to that next level then we start to get this price cluster coming together uh higher up on the uh on the price chart around 130k as an example maybe it comes out at 150 we don’t know yet because the market hasn’t given us any of that information yet and we have to wait for that in time but that’s going to be the next major interesting point when it comes to projecting these price targets for the end of the cycle along with the timing of how this comes together with the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ do they all start to hit some of these price targets at the same time during the next one to two years of the end of the 18.6 year cycle this is the big movie the big story that I’ve uh been very interested in I have dedicated myself to this for the last decade or more when it comes to looking at this cycle and obviously investing for um 17 years now so this is what I’m fully invested in I hope you’re here to join us on the journey to see how this next 20 18 year cycle plays out and then we can add that to the history books together so subscribe join us for the journey like the content let’s go 3 and half thousand I’ll see you back here at the next video if you want more links in the top of the video description for Tia premium and our free report as well right up there thanks again guys catch you at the next one till then peace out

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Description:
A common response to stock markets in ATHs is “This is a sign that a collapse is near”. My response is yes, it is a symptom of a collapse but the timing is the issue. Now is not the time for a worldwide collapse. The Everything Bubble must do its damage first (to the upside) for a major collapse to unfold. The masses always arrive too late to the market cycle and stay too long. It happens every single cycle without fail. Avoid doing what the masses do when the buy and sell bitcoin and crypto. In this video, we analyse what is happening in the traditional markets, SP500 and economy right now including interest rate cuts and hikes, along with when is a reasonable time to take profits on Bitcoin and what strategy I am using with my bitcoin profits in the crypto bull market cycle.
*I reserve the right to adjust my outlook as more information and data come through for Bitcoin.

Like and Share if you want to inform your friends and family.

Timestamps
00:00 Bitcoin, Stock Market ATHs
13:00 Recession, USD and ATHs
15:30 Bitcoin prediction, cycle analysis
21:15 Bitcoin prediction, price analysis

➢ Disclaimer: This video is for entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice and is not an endorsement of any provider, product or service. All trading involves risk. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I’m part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites. Swyftx, ByBit, BingX and Bitget are channel sponsors. All decisions you make are your own. #crypto #bitcoin #cryptonews