Bitcoin & The Pi Cycle Top Indicator – A Crucial Update

Bitcoin & The Pi Cycle Top Indicator – A Crucial Update

in today’s video we’re going to be focusing on the P Cycle top indicator and an update on what’s been going on when it comes to these two moving averages as well as a crossover which will signal the end of this Bitcoin bull market so subscribe to the channel for more videos like this in the future like this video if you enjoy content like this going forward and let’s Dive Right into today’s video so this orange moving average is always going to act as a support especially in the Haring year and we’ve seen that time and again earlier this year and once again here this may we’ve managed to hold this level as a support but at the same time on the flip side of that this green moving average is going to be acting as a resistance as it tends to be the case historically in the preh Haring year we got this rejection but that’s a preh Haring year in the Haring year we tend to see reaccumulation just below this region before price expansion inevitably occurs so we did reject from this green moving average we’ve managed to find support at this orange moving average and we’re just going to be re accumulating between these two moving averages in what is essentially a post Haring reaccumulation range for Bitcoin and essentially we’ve managed to rebound from the orange moving average which is approximately at 60k we know that we deviated below here into 56k these downside Wicks aren’t going to be visible but we’ve actually seen this green moving average because it’s a dynamic one increase in in the price action that it represents so 82k is going to be the resistance that we need to break later on in the cycle well probably break Beyond it as we’ve seen in the past multiple times across history but we have to know that we rejected from 71 72k back here in March and now we’re going to have to break Beyond 82k later on in the cycle so that’s something to keep in mind but what’s also important to keep in mind is these two moving averages on this recent bounce to 65k these two moving averages are going to be flicking up and we are seeing some flicking up in the more sensitive moving average which is the orange 111 day moving average if we propagate these into the future we’ll learn that this bearish crossover in the P Cycle top indicator is going to occur in late September 2025 which is right bang on with the Haring Cycles because historically after the Haring we tend to see a bull market Peak 518 days to 546 days after the Haring and if this is going to continue in this cycle 518 days after the har is going to get us into midt and 546 days after having is going to get us into mid October so the fact that we’re seeing a propagation of these moving averages take us to a late September 2025 bull market Peak or isn’t that right bang on between these two levels essentially so technically according to the P Cycle moving averages we are on track for a regular harving cycle but of course we know that as we continue to move towards the upside these two moving averages are going to converge more and more so that means that we’d probably get a crossover much quicker but what these two moving averages are blind to is the fact that we could still see upside we could still see downside maybe we just see sideways price action and these moving averages are going to be reacting to those price moves and as a result impacting different crossover scenarios in the future if we go towards upside then this crossover scenario would probably occur somewhere here in April if we drop then maybe we push the can down the road and the bull Mark Peak occurs in December 2025 for example if we move sideways then we just essentially maintain this bull market Peak scenario of essentially September 2025 but whatever the case may be the P Cycle moving averages are suggesting to us that despite this rate of acceleration of 200 days because remember in March of this year we were accelerating by approximately 260 days but because we’ve been in this 60-day uh reaccumulation range period we’re now down to rate of acceleration of 200 200 days so because we’re 200 days accelerating ahead of the traditional Haring cycle the P Cycle top moving averages are essentially suggesting to us that well there is no rate of acceleration we are on track for a t typical traditional having cycle and maybe that is going to be the case but how can the P Cycle moving averages know that ahead of time because we need to see this reaccumulation last for 200 days more and we know that we could if history repeats we could see this sideways accumulation take place for approximately 20 days 120 days 130 40 days longer because this was a 160 day re acumulation period this red box this red box was approximately 150 days and now we are two 3 and 1 half weeks after having so that’s approximately 25 26 27 days so we should could reasonably see 130 days extra of consolidation towards the towards the sideways but that would still leave us with two months uh of rate rate of acceleration so these two P Cycle moving averages are going to continue to change and what we really need to be focusing on is essentially these two points and it really just boils down to uh these by erors being the orange moving average and any downside Wicks below there and the green moving average is essentially the resistance that needs to be broken but UNC confirmed breakout this is where we can reaccumulate safely because historically breaking Beyond here has been generating a price expansion however on the first attempt of trying we reject from here so we’ve already had this first attempt of trying get rejected 2017 showed us that these attempts can get rejected three times even but the key thing here is that we do manage to reclaim this green moving average as a support sooner or later that’s essentially going to be the goal for Bitcoin breaking this green moving average in the future but for the time being price stability is necessary at this orange moving average and so far so good because we’ve seen a flick up in price action quite recently so going forward essentially if we construct this range in this way then that’s essentially where we’re consolidating in and that’s essentially where we we need to continue to consolidate going into September so while we have Consolidated for six 60 days apologies perhaps we need an extra 60 days for this to really be a healthy consolidation period for that to be a consolidation period that enables a breakout to this region into the parabolic phase of the and of course this is going to impact the propagated moving averages to bring us closer to a to a bull market Peak that comes sooner rather than later however it’s it’s a moving Target isn’t it as we’ve been seeing in my previous videos on the P Cycle moving average this is going to be impacting and moving all the time but the closer we get because price is going to be essentially going like this the target is going to start to have narrower shifts and the moving Target is going to SL slowly but surely get honed in on and we’ll finally be able to predict where the bull market Peak is going to be we are still definitely far away from that we’re just waiting for this reaccumulation phase first of all to continue going sideways because that’s going to reduce the rate of acceleration in this cycle and then later to break out from there to then challenge this green moving average and break Beyond it and then finally enjoy price expansion in a parabolic fashion to new alltime highs and Beyond that’s the goal those are the checkpoints thank you so much for watching this P Cycle top indicator update subscribe to the channel for more videos like this in the future like this video if you enjoy content like this going forward I’m re capital and I’ll speak to you in the next one speak to you soon

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We’ll discuss the historical tendencies for the Pi Cycle Top indicator in an effort to better understand the ultimate question – when could Bitcoin top in this cycle?

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