$4,500,000 Bitcoin AHEAD! This Mathematician Predicts Bitcoin Will 64x – Fred Krueger

$4,500,000 Bitcoin AHEAD! This Mathematician Predicts Bitcoin Will 64x – Fred Krueger

this is a long-term thing you got to do some long-term planning but like if you’re a millennial you actually have an amazing opportunity right now now 98% of the people will not take that opportunity it’s just a fact you know they’re going to do the wrong thing you can always count on people to do the wrong thing because they’re going to follow the trend that they’re going to follow the herd and the herd says buy the house settle down yeah plunk this get you that’s what the herd says but you have to go the other way if you want to if you want to get rich if you want to do better than the average you have to do something different than the average and so I think you know I encourage you know younger people to say yeah you know your best bet right now is to put all your eggs in Bitcoin that’s your best bet and if I was 30 I would have 100% of my net worth in Bitcoin that’s that’s what I would do maybe not 100 maybe it’ be the good news is we now have this pool of capital which is 10x what it used to be that’s just great right for Bitcoin and that’s what’s going to propel Bitcoin to that you know that we need that pool of capital if we’re going to get to 500,000 Bitcoin this cycle which I think we will you but we need we need the massive volume of capital Fred Krueger believes that over the long term Bitcoin is the best opportunity of all time many Millennials and gen Z complained that older Generations were able to buy houses and real estate at cheaper prices compared to their wages however mathematician Fred Krueger believes Bitcoin is a far superior opportunity yet 98.5% of people are not going to take the risk for those who don’t know who Fred Krueger is he is an extremely successful entrepreneur and investor who also has a PHD in mathematics from Stanford however after Decades of experience on Wall Street he’s gone all in on one thing Bitcoin using his mathematics background Fred Krueger has spotted that Bitcoin is following a power law which statistically is extremely rare to observe Krueger believes that it’s this power law and rate of adoption that is going to send Bitcoin to $500,000 this cycle long term Krueger believes we will see Bitcoin do something between a 32x increase to a 64x increase within the next 15 years make sure to stick around until the end of the video where Krueger breaks down how Bitcoin is following a power law and why it’s so rare to observe also guys only small percentage of my viewers are actually subscribed if you enjoy Finance content consider subscribing or liking the video it’s free and you can always change your mind now he’s Fred kugo with his latest Bitcoin Outlook if you’re a millennial right now and you’re the average home buyer in America is 36 years old I said side like okay let’s just say you’re a 36-year-old couple right now you have a choice you can go buy that home the average home in America cost $500,000 right now you can buy 500 and you can put a 100 Grand down towards a down payment or you can buy you know 1.3 Bitcoin with your 100K right and you could rent now renting is going to save you money it’s your mortgage is going to be higher price than you’re renting right so you’re going to be able to take a little bit more off the top and stack that as well so if you look at this and you just model it out with a reasonable power law or kager type assumption you’re going to end up with like two Bitcoin in 10 years if you rent and you put your money in Bitcoin now if you have two Bitcoin in 10 years and bitcoin’s at 1 million you’re going to be way better off with the two Bitcoin than by having paid down you know 100K off your 4 500k mortgage it’s so you know longterm this this is a long-term thing you you got to do some long-term planning but like if you’re a millennial you actually have an amazing opportunity right now now 98% of the people will not take that opportunity it’s just a fact you know they’re going to do the wrong thing you can always count on people to do the wrong thing because they’re going to follow the trend that they’re going to follow the herd and the herd says buy the house settle down yeah plunk this get you know that’s what the herd says but you have to go the other way if you want to if you want to get rich if you want to do better than the average you have to do something different than the average and so I think you know I encourage you know younger people to say yeah you know your best bet right now is to put all your eggs in Bitcoin that’s your best bet and if I was 30 that’s a 100 I would have 100% of my net worth in Bitcoin that’s that’s what I would do maybe not 100 maybe it’ be maybe be 80 and then I would keep 20% just in cash just for a rainy day in case I lost my job or I get hit by a car right just so I wouldn’t have to sell my Bitcoin at a bad time you know so but predominantly in Bitcoin and uh and play it out so look I mean there’s a lot of noise on you know these flows and everybody can get too obsessed with what were the flows yesterday or what are the flows today you know you you can get you can read too much into these flows like when I when I started I sort of looked at some of the flows daily then I realized everybody was looking at them very very too almost in too much minutia and I and they were like wow there’s flow you know it’s Unstoppable I was like guys like this is Mall Street are momentum players right they you know if if the market feels toppy or goes down or something they’re going to be the first people not to step off the gas right and this is what happened right so they stopped for a while now Market’s going to come back somehow we don’t know when we don’t we don’t we don’t know how this stuff’s going to happen but markets come back but now we have this huge Market that can participate on the upside right so this is a temperamental buyer just like anybody else but it’s just the good news is we now have this pool of capital which is 10x what it used to be and that’s that’s just great right for bit coin and that’s what’s going to propel Bitcoin to that you know that we need that pool of capital if we’re going to get to 500,000 Bitcoin this cycle which I think we will you but we need we need the massive volume of capital and we now have that so we don’t need anything else we’ve we don’t even need Sovereign wealth or corporates to put it on their B nothing we’ve got we’ve got the thing we got the ETF and we got Black Rock supporting it well the power law is all it is is a statistical relationship that we observe that Bitcoin has so you know if we look at the price of Bitcoin most people when they look at the price of Bitcoin they have the following perception okay it went up a lot in 2017 I remember that it went up from 1,000 to 20,000 then it crashed all the way down to 35,000 then it went back all the way up to 60,000 in um in uh 2020 it stayed at sort of 60,000 it double dipped and then it crashed again and here we are alltime Highs but if you look at it on a log log basis right which you’ve you’ve done there right you looked at this is on a linear to log basis right so you have linear time linear and the basis is log now you start seeing some pattern in it right it does look like it’s generally going up now now if you look at it on a log log basis where the time is also put on a log you will notice that it’s now going up in a line right so it’s not just going up sort of in a sort of a logarithmic curve like this would sort of indicate that it’s sort of bending down this way right but if you look at it on the log log space you’ll see it’s actually linear and that log log relationship means that Bitcoin is growing at a power of time the equation is yeah exactly so if you see if you put things in a log log space and you see a line like this and you know you see that it is trending around a line which it is right and uh it it also happens to have Peaks at the line and troughs at the line but that’s not even the critical part here the critical part is that it is trending around a line line right and uh it has the red area is two standard deviations above the line the green area is one standard deviation uh below the line okay and uh that’s just an observed Behavior right so we’ve observed that it doesn’t ever go below one standard deviation of the of the below the line do you guys know what a stand maybe I should say what a standard deviation is right so in normal distribution a normal distribution has two is defined by two criteria is by defined by its mean its average right and its standard deviation and here we have pattern which is a a mean the mean is growing linearly with time okay uh here and the standard deviation is right now it’s 3 on this thing in log space um and uh what that means is that you can either go up by 10 ^3 which means it’s a double that’s one standard deviation or you can go down you multiply by 10 ^ .3 which is equivalent to uh cutting in two so sort of over a year the best way to think about this is we might double or we might go down by half in a year now it’s not the same to say over over a long period of time this thing tends to have some mean reversion to it right so if you’re at one of these kind of bubble Peaks you have a higher probability of correcting back down towards the middle so it’s not sort of a memoryless process it’s a it it is a sort of a mean reverting process so this this power law tells us a lot about about you know if in fact this is the correct um model of Bitcoin and the data the statistical data here is really strong right so as as a you know person with a stats background I can tell you you don’t see stuff like this in in anywhere right with this kind of uh this kind of correlation this is this is really really really rare right like when I saw this for the first time I was like oh my God you know and because you don’t see this kind of behavior ever and the why this is so special is that you’ll notice that it’s starting at 10 Theus one here which is 10 cents right and it’s going all the way up and this this was an earlier version that stopped in 20120 but of course now we’re almost up to 100,000 right so we’re up to 10 ^ 6 right so we really have gone um we’ve got sorry 10^ 5 so we we’ve gone up um six orders of magnitude in this chart right and the fact that you’ve gone six orders of magnitude and still stayed within the power law is just you know Earth shattering kind of like a discovery so uh so whenever so I was you know I and others have observed this power law and the first person to observe it is this crazy Italian physicist Giovani who observed it in 2014 nobody gave him the time of day and uh everybody instead focused on stock to flow which is a little bit of a version of this I don’t want to get too far into stock to flow because it it’s it’s not really a great model to be honest and even get wrong to the log log scale well the log log version is kind of why it works right so this is the fundamental reason why it works now stock to flow what it is is your observe the stock of Bitcoin is it’s sort of by definition it’s a function of time and so it’s just a a mathematical function of time just because the uh stock the emissions of Bitcoin are are programmed right so it’s because stock to flow is is is a monotonic function of time it’s correlated to time but since the price of Bitcoin is correlated to time with the power law it therefore follows that stock to flow will also be correlated with Bitcoin price so there is some correlation right that we’re observing so the correlation of stock to flow which led everybody to say stock to flow is Right comes from the fact that there was this power law what they got wrong is that they imp there was this implied causality between Supply and price which is not correct right and so you know and and it is not correct that the fact that the having reduces the supply by half logically implies that the price has to double that’s just not correct okay and it is obviously the case that if you have a reduction in Supply that is good for the price of Bitcoin but it doesn’t logically follow that the price of Bitcoin should double so you know that’s kind of the you know we could go into a long discussion as to as to why I believe that but but basically what I the way I think that the me and many others right are coming to the view that what we have with Bitcoin is we have a model where Bitcoin is getting adopted uh more and more and more in a very steady way right so you can see how many people have one Bitcoin for example right and that number is also a power law with time so the number of whole coiners is growing to the power of um 1.4 as it turns out okay that that’s the the the power of of you can also look at how many people have $11,000 worth of bitcoin and that is growing to the power four so that’s a power law too you can look at how many people have a million SATs okay that’s uh roughly a power of three to the of of bitco of time so there’s all these power laws which indic which are stem from the fact that Bitcoin is getting adopted why because it’s a better than gold it’s it’s more movable than gold it is um more secure securitized than gold and of course it has the same hardness of gold so you got these three key assets that make Bitcoin a a very useful product for many many people on this planet and so because of that overall Bitcoin is growing and it’s growing at at this rate and the price is also growing at a faster rate now it may be the case that meta’s law is also at work where the number of users is growing at say the cubed and the meta’s law uh takes that to the the squares that so is the power is multiplied by two so that gets you to Power Six roughly but the main thing is usage is growing according to a power law price is growing according to a power law and also hash rate is growing according to a power law and I think that’s a very good mathematical model for how Bitcoin is working today well said that that may that may change 20 years from now right it may change 10 years a lot of people have said Fred the ETF is going to change it this year and my and I’m listen I’m going to be the and change it to the upside right people are like this etf’s going to like we’re going to go to a million dollars a year this year now if that happens great all I can say is we’ve lived through 15 years of data and we’re very very tightly within this power law I would say as a statistician I’m I’m saying unless I see otherwise I have I would expect the next 15 years to resemble the last 15 years and if that’s the case I would expect Bitcoin to go go up by 64 times over the next 15 years and that that’s that’s the number right so so and this is where it’s very hard to get your head around right but in a power law if you double the amount of time that you give the process right you don’t double the am the price so you know in another 15 years you don’t double the price from 64,000 what you do is you take the price to the six power 2 to the 6 power was 64 uh because we’re the power law is roughly a power of six so something like 30 somewhere between 32 and 64 times uh you know that would be the statistical behavior of Bitcoin that we would expect in another 15 years so it’s amazing right like if and I believe I believe that’s probably roughly right right so do I believe it’s exactly right no you know it’s a model but it gives you some mathematical framework to look at to to make some some estimations as to where we think bitcoin’s going to be so there’s Fred Krueger’s insights into why Bitcoin is the best long-term opportunity of all time despite the challenges Millennials and gen Z face compared to older Generations Kruger’s mathematical analysis reveals bitcoin’s incredible potential with a PhD in mathematics from Stanford and Decades of experience on Wall Street Krueger’s confidence in Bitcoin is backed by his observation of its power LW growth a rare and statistically significant phenomenon his predictions of Bitcoin reaching $500,000 this cycle and potentially increasing 32x to 64x over the next 15 years offers a fascinating outlook on the future of the digital asset if you’re looking to stay ahead in the crypto game be sure to subscribe to our daily 5minute crypto newsletter join thousands of subscribers who are enhancing their crypto investment strategies every day just click the first Link in the description to subscribe now anyway guys hope you all enjoyed today’s video and that provided you with some value I’ll see you all in the next one and as always all the best

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Fred Krueger believes that long-term, Bitcoin is the best opportunity of all time.

Many millennials and Gen Z complain that older generations were able to buy houses & real estate at cheap prices compared to their wages, however, mathematican Fred Krueger believes Bitcoin is a FAR superior opportunity.

Yet 98.5% of people are not going to take the risk.

For those who don’t know who Fed Krueger is, he is an extremely successful entrepreneur & investor who also has a PHD in mathematics from Stanford.

However, after decades of experience on Wall Street, he’s gone all-in on one thing. Bitcoin. Using his mathematics background, Fred Krueger has spotted that Bitcoin is following a power-law, which statistically is extremely rare to observe.

Krueger believes that it’s this power law and rate of adoption that is going to send Bitcoin to $500,000 dollars this cycle.

Long Term, Krueger believes we will see Bitcoin do something between a 32x increase to a 64x increase within the next 15 years.

Make sure to stick around to the end of the video where Krueger breaks down with math how Bitcoin is following a power law and why it’s so rare to observe.

Make sure to stick around to the end of the video where Krueger gives his 18 month outlook for Bitcoin.

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 98% Of People Will MISS This Opportunity
1:23 Intro – Who is Fred Krueger?
2:40 Bitcoin Vs Buying a House
4:50 Put 100% Of Your Networth In Bitcoin
7:06 Bitcoin Is Following A Power-Law
10:57 You NEVER See This In Maths13:54 Why Plan B Is WRONG
16:21 Why Bitcoin Will Go Up 64x In 15 Years

#Bitcoin #Crypto #Investing

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$4,500,000 Bitcoin AHEAD! This Mathematician Predicts Bitcoin Will 64x – Fred Krueger

“The Average Person Is NOT Ready For What’s Coming” | Fred Krueger BlackRock Bitcoin Prediction