Crypto Bull Run Guide – Parabolic Stage Begins Now

    does it feel like it takes Bitcoin forever to blow past those previous all-time highs I get it been there before we done that I know what it’s all about but people forget we’re only a few months now past the Bitcoin having we were above the previous Cycles alltime highs a few months before we were supposed to be everything’s mov a bit faster as time it’s a bit of a unique cycle it always is though now the bull market looks like it’s Prime for another big leg up let’s get into the details the Bitcoin price is coiled like a spring right now with this type of price action it often doesn’t sit still for very long since mid-march volatility has been trending down reaching levels that have historically speaking anyway been very much associated with a big price move coming soon indeed after months of apathy and sideways price action and massive boredom in the markets the first glimmers of speculative activity are beginning to show again the Binger bands right now are pretty compressed another sign of course of an imminent big price move look at the chart of the shortterm holder sell side risk ratio it’s currently dropping rapidly suggesting that the market has exhausted its sell side we’re out of Sellers and when you’re out of sellers guess what happens number goes up baby this indicator tells us that an equilibrium is close to being being reached in signals we should expect a bigger price move is incoming in the not so distant future this chart from glass node and their analysts have the following to say long and shortterm holders have experienced a reset in their cells side risk ratio suggesting a new equilibrium has been found this indicates that the market is ready to move and volatility expectations for the near future should be heightened interesting and what about the bigger macro picture because there’s some very interesting going on here so look if a big move is coming well what direction is it coming in big moves a bit vague right so let’s stack back from the onchain data and zoom out to the bigger macroeconomic picture if you watch my videos there probably no secret to you that stock prices and crypto prices are in part driven by Broad broader Financial conditions risk on riskof attitudes more broadly speaking affect markets how easy is it for money to be available for potential crypto investors right how easily can they ape into crypto how are interest rates are people taking risks are people a to borrow are central banks injecting money into the financial system or are they tightening and taking it out well these conditions determine which extent investors are willing to take risks with certain stocks and altcoins and all that kind of stuff frog pictures frog coins you guys know the you guys know the deal well interest rate CS by central banks have started first Brazil then Mexico next will be the ECB England Canada just announced it’s happening all over the place then the USA the FED will be the last man standing but they will cut and more rate cuts are coming this is good for Global liquidity here’s the chart of the global liquidity index from Global macro investor view it as the combined balance sheets of central banks aka the money printers the people in charge of printing it all injecting the liquidity into the system a perfect wedge pattern is forming up look at that suggesting a breakout is coming in the next few months potentially risk assets have been front running this money printer the chart essentially shows you the makings of pal Julian Batel and others have coined as the banana Zone for prices go absolutely insane for a while before the next big crash comes off obviously it’s not just crypto prices okay as the growth of global liquidity is projected to Peak somewhere between the fall of 2024 which is pretty soon in early 2025 watch out okay this would suggest that the most violent part of the crypto bull market cycle would be around those dates potentially a little bit later as the effects flood into the market and take a little bit of time you can see in this chart how this has historically played out the highest year on-year accelerations or decelerations of global liquidity tend to coincide with the fiercest run-ups and crashes of Bitcoin here’s another chart from Wily woo showing you the same idea as the M2 money supply Rises Bitcoin Rises it’s pretty remarkable how much Bitcoin has already climbed obviously considering that until very recently the M2 Global money supply was still Contracting it makes you wonder of course just how explosive things could still get and how much fuel there might be in the tank still here’s another interesting couple of charts for you by veteran chartist Peter brand this chart plots the price of Bitcoin in relationship to Total US money stock or M1 M1 is the money supply that is composed of currency demand deposits and other liquid deposits which of course includes savings deposits now M1 has grown a lot in recent years especially in the postco year when wild money printing happened in terms of M1 BTC still hasn’t reached an all-time high but it appears set to break out now Peter goes on to say a very interesting similarity between this chart and a chart structure of the Dow Jones During the period of the great stagflation of the 1970s both this one and the BTC versus usm1 are giant inverted Head and Shoulders patterns AKA massive bullish patterns on the chart the Dow Jones broke out in a massive way around 1983 just a chart just some fractals but hey a bit of food for thought right maybe maybe Bitcoin just needs to break the final major resistance area to enter into that moon phase of the cycle but hey Lark when parabolic man when are we going to go to the moon now that we’ve seen that the current Financial conditions are seeming to favor a move higher well let’s try to answer the when which is of course a tricky thing I don’t have a crystal ball right but before I show you those charts a quick note you got to check out the wealth Master newsletter it’s our free Weekly News letter the wealth Master newsletter not only includes these kinds of topics related to portfolio management big macro stuff all that kind of stuff but also all kinds of crazy good insights on Meme coins airdrops altcoin news deep Dives nfts and much much more you can join our 125,000 plus weekly readers for free using the link Down Below in the description on YouTube or the pinned comment over on X now here’s a chart from Red Capital it nicely shows how on the monthly time frame Bitcoin has basically flipped resistance into support big level time level stuff I love monthly because it really gives you a smooth picture of the big scene this makes an extended crash below 60k feel less likely at this point accepting some kind of macro Insanity zooming out a bit further on the monthly chart we’re here orange circles are post having reaccumulation ranges Bitcoin is right back at the range high of the reaccumulation range and the Outlook Remains the Same Bitcoin seems to be just one week close above the Range High away from entering the massive moon phase of the cycle maybe around 90k before another consolidation run up to 150k another consolidation run up to 215k Market cycle over you better sell and get out as an idea now that Weekly candle close above $71,500 would probably Kickstart the breakout from the reaccumulation range when well it could be any day maybe by the time you’re watching this video maybe we’re even underway with that but history suggests BTC may not be able to achieve this only two months after the having but then the ETFs are here perhaps history’s changing instead previous Cycles suggest that Bitcoin consolidate inside this reaccumulation range for even a bit longer roughly between you know bouncing between 60 and 70k for maybe another two or three months are you ready for that eventuality max pain potentially for some investors for me that’d be fine a prolonged consolidation here would get Bitcoin closer to synchronization with historical having charts but maybe that’s not where we’re going maybe this time is different and we’ll act differently even though it will act kind of the same the current acceleration in the cycle is still around 190 days I’m not saying history will repeat it’s anybody’s guess we could see a breakout any day or a few months in the future again I don’t have a crystal ball we just have charts and thesis and all this kind of stuff to look at both scenarios of course are bullish either way we’re going to go up only question is when but it seems likely that the move will be pretty wild when it happens now what about your altcoins I know your dog coins I get it we’ve talked about the Big Daddy but the altcoin bags that’s where the real money is going to be made isn’t it and it’s no secret that altcoins are a retail driven Market because that’s where people want to go to make the money after all institutions don’t ape into Pepe or dog with hat but retail investors aren’t really back at scale at least not compared to 2021 for example views of crypto YouTube channels such as this one are still roughly five times lower compared to the bull market peak of 2021 which is kind of good to be honest because it means that we are far away from the Mania phase of the bull market and that of course that we’re on the verge topping out let’s wait for that to happen we can wait okay retail investors need some confidence jump back into altcoins macro conditions could be bit better for them as well and that confidence of course only comes from a decisive new all-time high for Bitcoin and ethereum sadly high prices draw the crowd back in and they buy at the exact wrong time but that’s another story for another day anyway look I would place my bet on a move to the upside sooner rather than later price has Consolidated probably long enough and maybe it’s weeks more for example but it’s coming let’s wait let’s see and let’s wrap it up the final bu bullish data point for you on June 4th Bitcoin spot ETF saw the second highest daily inflows since their launch even grayscale Bitcoin for some unbelievable reason had somebody buying it terrible fees on that Bitcoin product anyway at this rate it’s hard to see how we would not reach new alltime highs in the nonexistant future I mean Wall Street just AED in a billion dollars in one day that’s crazy man it’s all there it’s all there if you’re willing to see it I hope that you see it thanks for watching

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    00:00 Intro
    00:34 On-chain data and technicals
    02:04 The Bigger Macro Picture
    07:20 When parabolic?
    09:32 Alts
    10:16 Conclusion

    #bitcoin #crypto #investing #cryptocurrency #cryptocurrencies #altcoins #cryptobullrun #ethereum

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    Disclaimer
    Everything expressed here is my opinion and not official investment advice – please do your own research before risking your own money. Lark Davis (The Crypto Lark and affiliated brand Wealth Mastery) is not providing you individually tailored investment advice. Nor is Lark Davis registered to provide investment advice, is not a financial adviser, and is not a broker-dealer. The material provided is for educational purposes only. Lark Davis is not responsible for any gains or losses that result from your cryptocurrency investments. Investing in cryptocurrency involves a high degree of risk and should be considered only by persons who can afford to sustain a loss of their entire investment. Investors should consult their financial adviser before investing in cryptocurrency.

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