Everyone and their mother is already talking about how the markets will be spooked this week, and as usual, it’ll do the exact opposite. The reasoning is simple: people sell out of spookiness early, and when world war 3 doesn’t happen, there’s no more sellers left so all prices can do is go up.
Last time there was a war scare, the market recovered within a week or two and we quickly went back to ATHs. Rule #1 of the market: when everyone expects a dip, it’s not going to happen.
Combine this knowledge with the fact that Cramer recently said everyone wants to get out of NVDA, and it becomes an obvious choice to go into NVDA again. Let’s also not forget earnings are coming up and Wall Street loves to create havoc to get cheaper calls.
Buy the fear.
NVDA 130 C 8/16
Middle East War will bump up the markets, not down
byu/btctrader12 inwallstreetbets
Posted by btctrader12
28 Comments
What war. It’s olympics
Nope this one is different. This is the “Big one”
Chad fearless bulls ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)
The DD on this exceeded all expectations
This shit is the new Scorpio Tankers shit.
Sooo, did you notice SPY the Monday/Tuesday after Iran launched missiles into Israel ? Small players fighting mean nothing. If Iran and Israel get involved. It’s trouble.
Middle East at war? Nothing like this has ever happened on our lifetimes
Truth because Inflation = growth now.
More money flew to US
America must support Israel with anything they need. 🇺🇸🤝🇮🇱
This means an higher rise in domestic manufacturing export for America.
a Long term contract commitment shipment daily on a timeline ?
USA should allow for an lasting Israeli peace.
Middle East is in great turmoil
PRICED IN
Since this post is inversing the market fear, I will inverse this post. Poots it is.
It depends whether the markets are on a short-term basis overvalued or not. If the markets are trading a lot above their moving averages and are due for a pullback, then a big international event typically triggers a market correction, even if that event does not have much relevance for the economy, take e.g. the Hamas attack against Israel.
It’s then a matter of traders deciding to cash in on their profits so that they can watch the news instead of monitoring the charts. If the markets are already down to the shorter-term moving averages, then the markets would be in for a rebound, but such a rebound may then be shallower and stall out as traders decide to follow whatever international event is occurring.
There won’t be a war. No one really wants the sauce with Israel. They just want to get some headlines and bad PR for Israel when they respond. An actual war would be like prime Mike Tyson fighting prime Stephen Hawking.
Dude talks about NVDA earnings and proceeds with positions that expire before the ER even releases. I fucking love this
Gaza vs Israel has been going on for almost a year.
Hasn’t there been an ongoing state of war in the ME for like the last 3000 years?
34th rule of acquisition: War is good for business.
The markets don’t really care so there’s no sense in trying to predict a reaction. It’ll go up or down and it’ll have nothing to do with the headlines you’ve read
War is ALWAYS bullish, unless it’s on your own soil.
Doesnt that call expire before earnings?
all this asssumes no war/black swan. so its kinda all stupid in a way
War in the Middle East? Literally has been priced in for decades.
Just don’t bet on Boeing.
What happened lol.
Another once in a lifetime event bingo for the genz to check off.
World war 3 has already been raging for a while it’s just the market has already priced it in.
“I’ve never heard this war in my life”
See you all Monday (today)