No pun intended but this will be a short and simple DD on why you should be shorting NVDA leading up to earnings.
1) There seems to be no end in sight with Jensen’s scheduled sells. This matters because volume has been pretty low based on NVDA standards. “It’s only 250k sells though. He has 99% of his equity left”. It’s been 250k sells everyday since June. You do the math.
2) Look at the chart. NVDA reached a double top over the summer – a double peak always results in a sustained decline until it finds consolidation for a period of time. This is exactly what’s been happening.
3) The delay in Blackwell chip rollout is a big deal. In the past NVDA has hit on all cylinders. A trustworthy company yet this delay is a chink in the armor, a crack in the foundation, like seeing blood after your hero gets a paper cut.
4) Institutions aren’t buying. There is too much uncertainty with the broader market and it serves MMs well to depress the price in order to allow big money to buy in at lower prices. You all are trading amongst yourselves and buying Jensen’s bags. It’s that simple.
My position: 8/28 100 $90 strike puts. Good luck to me.
It’s time we acknowledge that puts and shorts are the play for NVDA. Short DD
byu/Specific_Concern649 inwallstreetbets
Posted by Specific_Concern649
27 Comments
Nvda 140 eow![img](emote|t5_2th52|27189)
Calls it is
Puts were the play a month ago.
Going into earnings with puts…. Spicy! 🌶️
It doesn’t fit my trading method. It could come close to $90 within the next week but I highly doubt it will – i would imagine a gap up on monday, and it definitely won’t hit 90 or sub 90. Spx to 6k-6.2k before bear market
Best of luck to you tho, I’m not in nvda so I hope it works out your way 🙏
Priced in
U silly. NVDA will rock earnings. Japan Yen trade shocked the market. It is not time to buy puts.
500 million volume 3/5 days last week and people still think 200k sells a day matter when literally over a million shares are traded per minute.
Also just ignore the fact that anytime it goes near 99 theres an insane amount of buying pressure almost immediately.
I will gladly sell you those puts though for my weekly premium.
Nvda will beat expectations by 2 billion
Remind me! 18 days
Good luck to you. For me, I am going opposite
Didn’t you see what the big tech talked about ai chips in their earning consensus? They will still need the chips and even Elon said it takes too long to get the chips delivered so he’s struggling to manufacture his own dojo chips. That means nvidia chips are still fully sold well!
https://preview.redd.it/vk5t61ppu0id1.jpeg?width=1280&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f8ded6988b4fbfc161d229c4f86bcacc31ad916f
Mayyyn. Did I just catch you trying to predict the market?
> It’s been 250k sells everyday since June. You do the math.
Bro you’re the one making the post and you can’t do the math for us? What a useless post.
Yeah, really great information. He’s been selling stock since 2021 like a Spicket.
What are you talking about that institutions ain’t buying in? They have bought non-stop since the crash Monday. It was the AI hype which moved the market up last week.
Nothing exists in the market, which “always results in…”. That´s not due diligence, that´s soothsaying.
>Institutions aren’t buying. There is too much uncertainty with the broader market and it serves MMs well to depress the price in order to allow big money to buy in at lower prices. You all are trading amongst yourselves….
This just isn’t true at all. On Monday nearly all purchasing was done by institutional traders; they pumped that stock up from a low of 93 to 103 and retail was overall selling in panic that day. Volume is much too high to be retail; average volume last week was 326 million per day – retail can’t sniff a number like that, that’s almost all heavy hitter institutional investors.
Maybe you’re right about not being so bullish on the stock; but you are wrong about MMs. Overall they want that price to be at least 103.
You can already see around how much the big companies spent on AI in the last quarter from their earnings, nvda already beat their earnings. The only issue is, by how much and is that enough to show crazy growth?
Na
Fuckkkk. Bottom might be in
Kiss that money goodbye
NVidia 140 by earnings 🙌🏻
Bit late now but go ahead
TLDR , putting my 401k on calls
The time for puts was a month ago.
You are late.
You make money in the stock market by being early. And only by being early.
Could it go down some more? Sure it might but you missed the boat and every second you wait your odds of being the greater fool increases.
> It’s been 250k sells everyday since June. You do the math.
no u