I love how they keep pushing the recession target date forward. At some point they’re bound to be right.
Marko-2091 on
10 years from now we will have a world crisis because of cocoa futures and everyone will come out from their caves and say: “we told you that a crash was coming”
GreenBay_Drunk on
Calling Roche a veteran investor seems a tad too formal.
Giant_leaps on
I expect David Roche to suck my balls in 2025
Zephyr4813 on
Economists are historically shit at predicting market swings
Syab_of_Caltrops on
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271) There is no signal more bullish than these hacks coming out – *again* – and spewing recession doom and bear market futures. Last time this happened, SPY went +30% in 6 months ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)
SHUT_DOWN_EVERYTHING on
To be fair to Roche, in June 2022 he was saying a recession is avoidable in the short term which was not the consensus at the time:
> Roche is bucking the trend by predicting that there won’t be a recession in the U.S. in the near future. Over two-thirds of economists believe a recession will hit in 2023, according to a survey of 49 U.S. macroeconomics experts, and more than 60% of a 750 executive survey say a recession is coming in the next year and a half.
Predicting a recession is beyond difficult, and at this point just about every pundit–self-declared or not–has been wildly incorrect. Whether it is CNBC, wall street, or a youtuber they will simply pretend like their old predictions never happened.
If you want to ~~invest~~ gamble based on increased risk, h*dge your bets a bit; bet against yourself sometimes or move to less speculative plays.
BUT, this sub is meant for degenerate gambling. . .
Better-Bend-Barber on
He gets paid to spread misinformation.
RobertPaulsonXX42 on
“Sell me your bags…please?!”
bigstew6 on
Nerd
itsgottaberealnow on
He is a Trumper. He’s trying to make it happen so he can get Trump back into the office based on bullshit like usual
Mantis_Tobbagen on
David Roche, positions or ban ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258)
unwanted_hair on
You can subscribe to my thoughts for $9.99/mo by clicking the link below.
redditnazls on
He can bear these nuts in his mouf.
Boracraze on
Calls it is.
WBuffettJr on
How many economists predicted a raging bull market in 2023 and interest rates shot up? I can answer this for you. It was literally 0. If economists were able to predict the market they would all be as rich as Warren Buffett. There’s a reason they are not.
Dothemath2 on
Permabear here, I am now neutral because I thought the recession was happening in 2022.
Reginaferguson on
As someone who is an expert in my field. I immediately am sceptical when news articles point out someone’s qualifications as to why something will happen.
At the end of the day even a genius is still a normal person and can only process so much information.
20 Comments
Bullish ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)
I love how they keep pushing the recession target date forward. At some point they’re bound to be right.
10 years from now we will have a world crisis because of cocoa futures and everyone will come out from their caves and say: “we told you that a crash was coming”
Calling Roche a veteran investor seems a tad too formal.
I expect David Roche to suck my balls in 2025
Economists are historically shit at predicting market swings
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271) There is no signal more bullish than these hacks coming out – *again* – and spewing recession doom and bear market futures. Last time this happened, SPY went +30% in 6 months ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)
To be fair to Roche, in June 2022 he was saying a recession is avoidable in the short term which was not the consensus at the time:
> Roche is bucking the trend by predicting that there won’t be a recession in the U.S. in the near future. Over two-thirds of economists believe a recession will hit in 2023, according to a survey of 49 U.S. macroeconomics experts, and more than 60% of a 750 executive survey say a recession is coming in the next year and a half.
So he’s not a regular doomer.
https://fortune.com/europe/2022/06/20/david-roche-wall-street-strategist-us-can-now-avoid-a-recession/
Predicting a recession is beyond difficult, and at this point just about every pundit–self-declared or not–has been wildly incorrect. Whether it is CNBC, wall street, or a youtuber they will simply pretend like their old predictions never happened.
If you want to ~~invest~~ gamble based on increased risk, h*dge your bets a bit; bet against yourself sometimes or move to less speculative plays.
BUT, this sub is meant for degenerate gambling. . .
He gets paid to spread misinformation.
“Sell me your bags…please?!”
Nerd
He is a Trumper. He’s trying to make it happen so he can get Trump back into the office based on bullshit like usual
David Roche, positions or ban ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258)
You can subscribe to my thoughts for $9.99/mo by clicking the link below.
He can bear these nuts in his mouf.
Calls it is.
How many economists predicted a raging bull market in 2023 and interest rates shot up? I can answer this for you. It was literally 0. If economists were able to predict the market they would all be as rich as Warren Buffett. There’s a reason they are not.
Permabear here, I am now neutral because I thought the recession was happening in 2022.
As someone who is an expert in my field. I immediately am sceptical when news articles point out someone’s qualifications as to why something will happen.
At the end of the day even a genius is still a normal person and can only process so much information.