Pump or flat until rate cut officially announced then dip.
ADynes on
The only thing I’m holding right now is a couple 555p’s for next week, everything else is cash, bonds, and VOO. If we have a decent VIX spike (19+) the cash will get dumped into SVIX. If it doesn’t but the market is still down a little VOO until October. If the market is down a lot SPY calls for 1-2 weeks out. At least that’s the plan in my head.
Bossie81 on
You think, yet you do not exist.
Axotl0 on
Just got silver and gold calls plan to hold till end of year
cscrignaro on
I’d like to see a blow off top. That is spy shattering all time highs and then close to an immediate reversal.
MediocreSushi509 on
I’m loaded with sofi. I think it will make some good gains on anticipation. I will sell before the news.
Mhoward211 on
There are solid arguments for short term movements in either direction.
As far as next 12 months, there is an Interesting article from Morningstar i will include below.
Basically, it depends. Looking at the Morningstar US Stock Market Index, In 1995, the next 12 months were up 21%. In 2001, next 12 months were -10%.
Looking at earnings growth, or lack thereof, seems to have some sort of correlation with that as well.
I’m down 54% from my peak, but up 20% the last week… guess I could lose it all again next week if I don’t make the right call 🤔
Sad_Principle_2531 on
I see a blood bath coming.
bteeling on
I hope it will be a blood bath because I’m holding puts since last week that have been destroyed this week and I’ve DCAd them a few times. I really didn’t think we’d get 5 straight Green Day’s and almost reach SPY ATH during this month plus the added uncertainty with rate cuts and election.
onemindandflesh on
Stocks only go up, my friend
BoboSaintClaire on
Snap up some of my favorites if the dip is big enough. Hope that my SBUX put prints. You’d think the new CEO is pledging to cure world hunger from the market reaction
Otherwise-Growth1920 on
lol rate cuts have been priced in for months now… If the markets are a blood bath next week it won’t have a single thing to do with a rate cut.
Ok_Battle5814 on
You think rate cuts will be a sell the news event?
11Jon11 on
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
Emergency-Eye-2165 on
Post your positions then, or shut the fuck up
YamImpossible9698 on
Bro the market is smarter than you. They priced in a 0.25 cut already. What they’re watching for is if they cut more than that and more importantly, what Powell says.
Ok-Elderberrygrower on
I’m leaning towards liquidity event. YCT isn’t over.
Sufficient_Bad_4312 on
Rate cuts been coming for 3 years now
Big_Biscotti_1259 on
25bp vs 50bp![img](emote|t5_2th52|27189)
MonkeySpleenFart on
Some industries could see a bloodbath, but other industries that will suddenly get cheaper loans will boom. Question is, which companies will benefit most from cheaper loans? I don’t think it’s tech…
Own-Event1622 on
Cracker Barrel
ironichaos on
I took a bath this week being in sqqq. Went all cash yesterday. Tbh I don’t know what is going to happen apart from it being extremely volatile.
HarryPhajynuhz on
WSB seems convinced now that there’s gonna be a market crash so I’m buying nothing but calls.
SecretAgentPoop on
NVDA 150 next week
fenriswulfwsb on
Switching to 2 week spy puts Monday. Waiting for cut move to do anything else.
paintedfaceless on
Put flow volume is a lot higher than calls. If I was the MM – I would harvest on those.
hangender on
Calls on tmf and arkk
No-Department7714 on
$SOFI will pop
Substantial_Hall3425 on
QQQ Nov 500 c
PlasticHot7188 on
with everyone expecting a bloodbath it is nearly 100% going up
all you need to do is look at the fear and greed index and see that stock strength + breadth is extremely bullish while put/call options are in fear to extreme fear.
it’s literally free money for hedges to pump this
Arkanslaughter on
Definitely see the Japan carry trade popping up this week to destroy ports again. Jpy sank to lower lows last week and the ndq has been trailing that for some time. Guess what pumped without a care in the world. I feel like we open Monday red just like last time.
Sorry_Following_8812 on
Redfin is what you’re looking for!
Andylovespussy on
Spy calls
MakeResonableChoices on
Seems like it can’t go down too much or go up too much. Looking to just scalp calls on sharp dips and not look at gain porn for winners I sell for small gains
38 Comments
Pump or flat until rate cut officially announced then dip.
The only thing I’m holding right now is a couple 555p’s for next week, everything else is cash, bonds, and VOO. If we have a decent VIX spike (19+) the cash will get dumped into SVIX. If it doesn’t but the market is still down a little VOO until October. If the market is down a lot SPY calls for 1-2 weeks out. At least that’s the plan in my head.
You think, yet you do not exist.
Just got silver and gold calls plan to hold till end of year
I’d like to see a blow off top. That is spy shattering all time highs and then close to an immediate reversal.
I’m loaded with sofi. I think it will make some good gains on anticipation. I will sell before the news.
There are solid arguments for short term movements in either direction.
As far as next 12 months, there is an Interesting article from Morningstar i will include below.
Basically, it depends. Looking at the Morningstar US Stock Market Index, In 1995, the next 12 months were up 21%. In 2001, next 12 months were -10%.
Looking at earnings growth, or lack thereof, seems to have some sort of correlation with that as well.
https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/what-happens-stocks-when-fed-starts-cutting-rates
I’m down 54% from my peak, but up 20% the last week… guess I could lose it all again next week if I don’t make the right call 🤔
I see a blood bath coming.
I hope it will be a blood bath because I’m holding puts since last week that have been destroyed this week and I’ve DCAd them a few times. I really didn’t think we’d get 5 straight Green Day’s and almost reach SPY ATH during this month plus the added uncertainty with rate cuts and election.
Stocks only go up, my friend
Snap up some of my favorites if the dip is big enough. Hope that my SBUX put prints. You’d think the new CEO is pledging to cure world hunger from the market reaction
lol rate cuts have been priced in for months now… If the markets are a blood bath next week it won’t have a single thing to do with a rate cut.
You think rate cuts will be a sell the news event?
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
Post your positions then, or shut the fuck up
Bro the market is smarter than you. They priced in a 0.25 cut already. What they’re watching for is if they cut more than that and more importantly, what Powell says.
I’m leaning towards liquidity event. YCT isn’t over.
Rate cuts been coming for 3 years now
25bp vs 50bp![img](emote|t5_2th52|27189)
Some industries could see a bloodbath, but other industries that will suddenly get cheaper loans will boom. Question is, which companies will benefit most from cheaper loans? I don’t think it’s tech…
Cracker Barrel
I took a bath this week being in sqqq. Went all cash yesterday. Tbh I don’t know what is going to happen apart from it being extremely volatile.
WSB seems convinced now that there’s gonna be a market crash so I’m buying nothing but calls.
NVDA 150 next week
Switching to 2 week spy puts Monday. Waiting for cut move to do anything else.
Put flow volume is a lot higher than calls. If I was the MM – I would harvest on those.
Calls on tmf and arkk
$SOFI will pop
QQQ Nov 500 c
with everyone expecting a bloodbath it is nearly 100% going up
all you need to do is look at the fear and greed index and see that stock strength + breadth is extremely bullish while put/call options are in fear to extreme fear.
it’s literally free money for hedges to pump this
Definitely see the Japan carry trade popping up this week to destroy ports again. Jpy sank to lower lows last week and the ndq has been trailing that for some time. Guess what pumped without a care in the world. I feel like we open Monday red just like last time.
Redfin is what you’re looking for!
Spy calls
Seems like it can’t go down too much or go up too much. Looking to just scalp calls on sharp dips and not look at gain porn for winners I sell for small gains
hmmm
https://preview.redd.it/k3coykjuisod1.png?width=2898&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b6415c3cdecdab7ee607f5b66b4ce857998e89f9
Depends where you think we’re at
It’ll be the opposite of whatever the hell you think it’ll be