Thanks for showing a broader perspective rather than just cherry-picking the extreme bear or bull pov
also this is actual DD, doesn’t belong in the casino. not one of us!
thatguythatbowls on
Ah yes, 2020, the 2 month recession
dkrich on
The interesting one on here was the 100 bps cut in Jan 01 because the market didn’t bottom for like another year and a half after that
originalusername__ on
Bears are already in shambles and you’re going to kick them while they’re down?
SeeEsGeek on
With a sample size of 3, flipping a coin is a better indicator.
KarensTwin on
notably every rate cut since ‘97 has resulted in a recession lol
TampaFan04 on
Um the last 3 all had a pretty big reason….. I feel like yall miss out on a lot of context. Can anyone remember what happened soon after Jan 2001, September 2007, July 2019?
Or is it just me?
RocketLabBeatsSpaceX on
Shut up and buy
No_Equal_9074 on
Real problem isn’t a recession. It’s if inflation will creep back up and get us stuck in a stagflation the moment the Fed tries to cut rates.
jpnc97 on
Were already up 1% so does that mean 14% in 3months?
Amins66 on
So .com and 08.
Awesome
ham_sandwedge on
Wow so it looks like, based on these historical comparisons that stocks can either go up or down. That’s fascinating and incredibly useful information to consider
ScipioAfricanusMAJ on
Jan 01 and July 19. New 9/11 dropping in 2025 confirmed.
Euphoric_Card_624 on
Anybody else ecstatic they loaded that 150$-170$ price range for Tesla
zazdy on
So calls got it
Sad-Technology9484 on
The most recent three Ys weren’t normal. .com bubble, subprime scandal, and worldwide plague.
rioferd888 on
You have to ask yourself whether these rate cuts were in reaction to a recession.
2008 rate cuts was a result of a banking collapse.
2020 was a result of covid.
Mofu__Mofu on
Too many factors not being recorded on this one
Tartania on
The key here is to look at what the inflation rate and fed funds rate were at when each of these cuts were made, as well as the couple of years prior. You will see that ’83 and ’89 are by far the most similar in terms of what sort of fed rate and inflation environments those cuts were a reaction to. As opposed to ’01, ’07, and ’19.
Ok_Departure_2240 on
Government would rather have poors paying 10 bucks for a loaf of bread than a recession
nofaplove-it on
Go back even further get more stats 
Kwerby on
This doesn’t fit what i want to hear therefor it doesn’t exist 
BrisketWhisperer on
Perfectly meaningless.
RW8YT on
shit guys, looks like stocks actually can go down OR up, didn’t realize. thanks!
SerialStrategist on
Based on 3 data points. Laughable.
SpaceToaster on
1995 is the one we are tracking with a similar timeline. What is interesting is that all of the recent cuts during the “easy money” low rate environment resulted in recession while the ones during the time of higher nominal rates did not.
Finallytherenow on
September 2007 50bp cut was a prelude to the Financial Meltdown, the Credit Crisis. Has much really changed for a repeat not to occur ?
Stay Tuned ~@!@~
Pitiful_Difficulty_3 on
bears are trying so hard. Rate cuts generally good for market, unless there are some big black swan hit.
potahtopotarto on
We’re in a mass hysteria similar to covid, a month ago this sub would’ve told you there was no way a 50bps cut would happen because it would be a panic signal to the market, it happens and many major stocks are up over 5% in a day, this is absolutely insane. The rate cut being higher than expected is a sign of the economy being worse than people expected.
If you’re looking at this market and thinking yep Carvana should be up 30% this week, have fun losing half your money.
29 Comments
Thanks for showing a broader perspective rather than just cherry-picking the extreme bear or bull pov
also this is actual DD, doesn’t belong in the casino. not one of us!
Ah yes, 2020, the 2 month recession
The interesting one on here was the 100 bps cut in Jan 01 because the market didn’t bottom for like another year and a half after that
Bears are already in shambles and you’re going to kick them while they’re down?
With a sample size of 3, flipping a coin is a better indicator.
notably every rate cut since ‘97 has resulted in a recession lol
Um the last 3 all had a pretty big reason….. I feel like yall miss out on a lot of context. Can anyone remember what happened soon after Jan 2001, September 2007, July 2019?
Or is it just me?
Shut up and buy
Real problem isn’t a recession. It’s if inflation will creep back up and get us stuck in a stagflation the moment the Fed tries to cut rates.
Were already up 1% so does that mean 14% in 3months?
So .com and 08.
Awesome
Wow so it looks like, based on these historical comparisons that stocks can either go up or down. That’s fascinating and incredibly useful information to consider
Jan 01 and July 19. New 9/11 dropping in 2025 confirmed.
Anybody else ecstatic they loaded that 150$-170$ price range for Tesla
So calls got it
The most recent three Ys weren’t normal. .com bubble, subprime scandal, and worldwide plague.
You have to ask yourself whether these rate cuts were in reaction to a recession.
2008 rate cuts was a result of a banking collapse.
2020 was a result of covid.
Too many factors not being recorded on this one
The key here is to look at what the inflation rate and fed funds rate were at when each of these cuts were made, as well as the couple of years prior. You will see that ’83 and ’89 are by far the most similar in terms of what sort of fed rate and inflation environments those cuts were a reaction to. As opposed to ’01, ’07, and ’19.
Government would rather have poors paying 10 bucks for a loaf of bread than a recession
Go back even further get more stats 
This doesn’t fit what i want to hear therefor it doesn’t exist 
Perfectly meaningless.
shit guys, looks like stocks actually can go down OR up, didn’t realize. thanks!
Based on 3 data points. Laughable.
1995 is the one we are tracking with a similar timeline. What is interesting is that all of the recent cuts during the “easy money” low rate environment resulted in recession while the ones during the time of higher nominal rates did not.
September 2007 50bp cut was a prelude to the Financial Meltdown, the Credit Crisis. Has much really changed for a repeat not to occur ?
Stay Tuned ~@!@~
bears are trying so hard. Rate cuts generally good for market, unless there are some big black swan hit.
We’re in a mass hysteria similar to covid, a month ago this sub would’ve told you there was no way a 50bps cut would happen because it would be a panic signal to the market, it happens and many major stocks are up over 5% in a day, this is absolutely insane. The rate cut being higher than expected is a sign of the economy being worse than people expected.
If you’re looking at this market and thinking yep Carvana should be up 30% this week, have fun losing half your money.