Unemployment has accurately followed Labour differential data each and everytime since the 80s..Incoming Bearmageddon 🐻

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    Posted by noobtrader28

    39 Comments

    1. Logical_Emphasis_214 on

      From the creators of “This week has always been red so it HAS to be red this year as well”

    2. The number of overleveraged simpletons who will be this generation’s bagholders, desperate for their investments bought at ATHs to finally return something worthwhile, has never been higher.

      Downvote all you want you line go up lemmings. The tide is going out all the same and there’s mos DEF a motherfucking clothes shortage out here.

      Godspeed to us all. Remember to catch as many falling knives as possible when the music stops and this farce finally concludes.

    3. Inevitable_Butthole on

      What about all the “the stock market is crashing and were entering a recession” posts from a couple weeks ago

    4. I don’t see the correlation. Don’t you expect unemployment to up when labor differential goes up? Like you expect prices of commodity to go up when inflation goes up

    5. Honestly, since we are on to rate cuts you can 50/50 stock/bonds and make decent money while being safe I leverage both 2x

    6. OP, can you please provide more clarity as to what this is? How does Renaissance Macro Research define “Labor Differential?”

      My understanding of labor differential is the difference between a surveyed share of consumers who view jobs as “plentiful” vs consumers who believe jobs are “hard to get”. This can be incredibly biased, and in fact earlier this week other survey organizations have determined the Labor Differential has narrowed recently.

      It’s hard to say how this survey was polled, who was surveyed, how many were surveyed, and if this can be considered forward looking. This is just an opinion based on a group of god knows who and their potential insights into macroeconomics or the labor market.

      Opinions are like assholes, everyone’s got one.

      Self plug, check out my recent WSB post if you want to see some real data of why I’m short based on current macroeconomic trends.

    7. Good Lord when will the predictions and doom end? Don’t you fuckers realize this system is all gamified now? They’ve arranged it just right so that we may never have a bad economy for the wealthy ever again. It might suck for the masses, but you can just hike minimum wage and make a bunch of them shut up. You can juice the stock market, keeps the wealthiest, voting-est, happy.

      Just get over the idea of a bubble or impending doom. It ain’t happening. If it somehow, some way, did, they’d just drop rates to zero again. Print it all up. Away we go again on inflation.

    8. Yeah but never in history has the Fed Fund Rate stayed at near 0 for 7 years. That changed everything. Data before 2009 that predicted previous recessions are now invalid.

      SPY 5000

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