Fed’s Favorite Underlying Inflation Gauge Is Seen Cooling

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-favorite-underlying-inflation-gauge-200000358.html

    Posted by FatCat_85

    16 Comments

    1. S&P500 will go to the moon
      ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258) or ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4259)

    2. Pitiful_Difficulty_3 on

      ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)

    3. The article mentions the last fed board meeting where members were worried the rates needed to stay higher for longer. Don’t they have access to this kind of information long before the public and if so, why would they be worried? Seems contradictory to the rest of the article. 🤔

    4. BentonD_Struckcheon on

      Oil can’t hold above 80 a barrel (talking US WTI here) despite the Ukraine war and OPEC maintaining its cuts. Absent some crisis in oil inflation is going to be gradually lowering. Fed won’t cut until after the election though.

    5. BuzzyShizzle on

      If we used the same measure of inflation from a long time ago before *the* crash we spiked at over 15%

    6. Actually white 🦢event incoming! Putin said he wants to stop the invasion. We might open with a positive sentiment come Tuesday?

    7. It’s not expected to come in at 0.2%. economists are forecasting it coming in at 0.24% month over month, while fed waller said fed economists are anticipating it to come in at 0.26%. a small rounding error difference. Last month, it came in at 0.27% month over month

      Furthermore, the fed likely needs to see at least 6 months of 0.20% month over month (annualized to 2.5%), or maybe 3 months of 0.17% or less (annualized to 2%) to feel comfortable with cutting, so we are way away.

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