I built a stock/options model that will green light a trade if the annualized return is >15%.

    Let me provide an example

    • I buy 100 shares of Walmart at $60 on March 15th, 2024.
    • I sell a $55 Covered Call expiring on June 21st, 2024 for a premium of $7.42

    (In this example I am selling covered calls quarterly.)

    If June 21st rolls around and WMT is >$55, I will sell for a 4.03% gain (($55+7.42)-$60) or a $242 gain on $6,000 in capital. If I were to repeat this quarterly trade over the course of the year, my annualized return should fall around 15% (not including dividends, but if they were included my net annualized return would be greater than 15%)

    If June 21st rolls around and WMT is <$55 and I collect $7.42 of premium, I'd effectively cover some of the downside risk associated with the stock by up to ~12.4% ($60 – $7.42). My new cost average would land around $52.58 (again, not including dividends collected over that quarter).

    I like this trading strategy as (1) I have a set % gain in mind thats attainable (and its greater than the ~11.4% annualized return of the SP500) (2) I have downside risk coverage and (3) I can own the stock + collect dividends

    The downsides I run into are (1) if WMT jumps 25% in that quarter, I'll only walk with a 4.03% gain, which means I leave money on the table, and (2) if WMT drops >12.4%, im in the weeds trying to find another quarterly covered call to trade. I try to hedge that downside risk by choosing large cap, low volatility, blue chip stocks though.

    I would only use this strategy on what I determine to be low volatility blue chip stocks that I'd hold for the long term (examples include: GIS, WMT, PG, WM, PEP/KO, BX, etc.). I want to ensure this model works before trying to build something else for higher volatility stocks.

    I can change the model at anytime to increase or decrease the 15% annualized return goal if I want to take on more or less risk.

    I write all of this out to see if my idea has any missing pieces / holes that can be poked in it. I implemented this in March and have my first round of options expiring 6/21 — all but one company will be getting called away — so 7 / 8 companies will have hit that "annualized return" strategy rendering this trade idea ~87% successful.

    Thoughts? Concerns? Things you'd change?

    Quarterly Covered Call Options Strategy Using Blue Chip Companies
    byu/heykebin inoptions



    Posted by heykebin

    1 Comment

    1. theoptiontechnician on

      I think everyone should make their own playbook. I have several of them . One playbook is for selling puts. One playbook is called dynamic stock.

      I have multiple plays navigating into the wheel. I think everyone should build them out before even trading.

      You should build it on the market cycles, as if the cycle of the swing is losing momentum you sell covered calls. If you see alot of demand on the stock you buy back the calls and go risk on.

      Then you can keep adding on to these playbooks it’s very fun as my dynamic stock has 4 different strategies on just when the price of the stock goes higher.

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