Historically the last week in September has the greatest consistent negative returns, as stocks are sold to secure gains, positions are rotated, and options expire. My question now is: with the current bull run we're in, does anyone have any actual confidence in a big red week starting this Monday or is this all just bear propaganda?
Will the historically worst week for stock trading be the best this year?
byu/HighSodiums inwallstreetbets
Posted by HighSodiums
17 Comments
If we knew how to predict what the market would do this sub wouldn’t have the reputation of being a group of regarded gamblers. We’re in moderate greed territory right now so you could make the argument for movement either side
Repositioning will matter, anyway.
Yes or no
Yes. BTC and Intel pretty much already started rallying
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The end of September historically has been but not always
Edit yeah there have been bear propaganda especially when it came to the rate cuts
But that honestly has more to do with people feeling in the economy and past data
crab
This plus ww3 starting and the congo covid 2.0, can only mean spy 950
I hope so! Going to borrow more money to buy more stock
Come on guys we need big wins. This sub is getting boring 
Has the Fed cut in any of the previous Septembers in the last decade??? If not then yes this will be the greenest September since then
Commercials are going heavy into calls. This week is green AF. 
They can’t have a correction before the election come on man
So I shouldn’t have bought spy calls? 
Who cares if anyone says it will or won’t, or even how confident they are. It’s completely meaningless. Some guy last week was confident the rate cut would be 0.25 and was baffled that the media or anyone remotely thought it would be 0.50 and wrote a long ass essay about it… and then it was 0.50.
No one knows. If anyone says yes, they’re guessing. If anyone says no, they’re guessing. Someone confident 0.001% is just as good as someone confident 99.999%.
The can’t time the market and you can’t predict the future. Throw a dart into the ocean, that’s all any of us can do. The market has no memory and doesn’t care about statistics or emotion. It will do whatever it does.
**September 18, 2007**: The Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate by **50 basis points** (from 5.25% to 4.75%) during the financial turmoil related to the subprime mortgage crisis. This was the first rate cut since 2003 and marked the beginning of a series of cuts aimed at stabilizing the economy.
**September 18, 2019**: The Federal Reserve reduced the federal funds rate by **25 basis points** (from 2.25% to 2.00%) in a move to sustain economic growth amidst trade tensions, slowing global growth, and low inflation.
Both cases lead to a decline within the following week